ArticleBMC cancer2023
Changing patterns of nasopharyngeal carcinoma incidence in Hong Kong: a 30-year analysis and future projections.
Article in BMC cancer, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Unraveling colorectal cancer incidence dynamics in Hong Kong 1983-2032 through age-period-cohort Bayesian projection and decomposition analysis.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2026Article
- The nasopharyngeal carcinoma in Xiamen China from 2011 to 2020: a population-based linkage study.BMC cancer · 2025Article
- Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma and Head and Neck Cancer in Type 2 Diabetes after SGLT2I, DPP4I, and GLP1a Use.Cancer prevention research (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2025Article
- Evolution of Esophageal Cancer Incidence Patterns in Hong Kong, 1992-2021: An Age-Period-Cohort and Decomposition Analysis.International journal of public health · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThis study aims to evaluate the relationship between age, period, and birth cohort with the incidence trends of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC) in Hong Kong, make projections through 2030 and parse the drivers of the incidence.
methodsUsing data from the Hong Kong Cancer Registry, we used an age-period-cohort model to uniquely estimate age, period, and cohort effects on NPC incidence trends and make projections. We further assessed the drivers of NPC incidence using a validated decomposition algorithm.
resultsFrom 1991 to 2020, crude and age-standardized incidence rates of NPC decreased significantly. The net drifts showed significant downward trends for both sexes, and local drift declined in all age groups. Period and cohort rate ratios revealed monotonic declining patterns for both sexes. Projections suggested that NPC incidence will continue to decline. Population decomposition showed that while population growth and ageing have led to an increase in NPC cases, epidemiologic changes offset these increases, resulting in an encouraging downward trend in the incidence and new NPC cases in Hong Kong.
conclusionsThe period and cohort risk of NPC in Hong Kong decreased, and epidemiologic changes offset the contribution of demographic factors, resulting in a continued decline in NPC incidence and cases.
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