ArticleScience advances2023
Short-term excess mortality following tropical cyclones in the United States.
Article in Science advances, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed.
- Excess mortality attributable to the 2025 Iberian Peninsula blackout.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Practical Considerations for Gaussian Process Modeling for Causal Inference in Quasi-Experimental Studies With Panel Data.Statistics in medicine · 2026Article
- Evolution of Long-Term Social Vulnerability After Tropical Cyclones in the United States.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- Hurricane power outage burden lands unequally: satellite evidence across 30 Atlantic storms.Research square · 2026Article
- Epigenome-wide analysis of DNA-methylation signatures following climate-related disasters.BMC medicine · 2026Article
- Tropical Cyclone Exposure and Psychoactive Drug-Related Death Rates.JAMA network open · 2026Article
- Political development predicts reduced human cost of flooding.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Adaptive mobility responses during Hurricanes Helene and Milton in 2024.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- Hospitalization risk and burden for cause-specific cardiovascular diseases following tropical cyclones: A multicountry study.Science advances · 2025Article
- Disruption to test scores after hurricanes in the United States.Environmental research, health : ERH · 2025Article
- Decreased likelihood of schooling as a consequence of tropical cyclones: Evidence from 13 low- and middle-income countries.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Excess Mortality Estimation.Annual review of statistics and its application · 2025Article
- A scoping review and thematic analysis of the effects of tropical cyclones on diarrheal diseases.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2025Review
- Article
- Annals of Education: Teaching Climate Change and Global Public Health.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Knowledge of excess deaths after tropical cyclones is critical to understanding their impacts, directly relevant to policies on preparedness and mitigation. We applied an ensemble of 16 Bayesian models to 40.7 million U.S. deaths and a comprehensive record of 179 tropical cyclones over 32 years (1988-2019) to estimate short-term all-cause excess deaths. The deadliest tropical cyclone was Hurricane Katrina in 2005, with 1491 [95% credible interval (CrI): 563, 3206] excess deaths (>99% posterior probability of excess deaths), including 719 [95% CrI: 685, 752] in Orleans Parish, LA (>99% probability). Where posterior probabilities of excess deaths were >95%, there were 3112 [95% CrI: 2451, 3699] total post-hurricane force excess deaths and 15,590 [95% CrI: 12,084, 18,835] post-gale to violent storm force deaths; 83.1% of post-hurricane force and 70.0% of post-gale to violent storm force excess deaths occurred more recently (2004-2019); and 6.2% were in least socially vulnerable counties.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.