Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37584317›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2024

Evolution of Spatial Risk of Malaria Infection After a Pragmatic Chemoprevention Program in Response to Severe Flooding in Rural Western Uganda.

Erin Xu, Varun Goel, Emmanuel Baguma, Emmanuel Ayebare, Brandon D Hollingsworth, Amanda Brown-Marusiak, Dana Giandomenico, Raquel Reyes, Moses Ntaro, Edgar M Mulogo and 1 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Public health consequences of global climate change. A narrative review.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Review
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Erin XuSchool of Medicine, UNC School of Medicine.
Varun GoelDepartment of Geography.
Emmanuel BagumaDepartment of Community Health, Faculty of Medicine, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Uganda.
Emmanuel AyebareDepartment of Community Health, Faculty of Medicine, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Uganda.
Brandon D HollingsworthDepartment of Entomology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York.
Amanda Brown-MarusiakDivision of Hospital Medicine.
Dana GiandomenicoDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health.
Raquel ReyesDivision of Hospital Medicine.
Moses NtaroDepartment of Community Health, Faculty of Medicine, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Uganda.
Edgar M MulogoDepartment of Community Health, Faculty of Medicine, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Uganda.
Ross M BoyceCarolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.ORCID 0000-0002-9489-6324
Mbarara University of Science and Technology · UGUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USCornell University · US

Funding

Re-Entry Supplement: Investigation of Oral Microbial Enzymes for the Detection and Treatment of Periodontal DiseaseUL1TR002489 · NCATS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI BUSE, JOHN BERNARD, SHAHEEN, NICHOLAS J · 2018 to 2022
$48.6M
Carolina Population CenterR24HD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI MORGAN, SAMUEL PHILIP · 2005 to 2014
$10.0M
Research Services CoreP2CHD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KAREN B GUZZO · 2015 to 2026
$9.6M
Host-Microbe Interactions that Determine Host Traits and DiseaseT32AI145821 · NIAID · CORNELL UNIVERSITY · PI LAZZARO, BRIAN · 2020 to 2024
$1.9M
Serial Killers to Mosquitos: The Spatial Targeting of Larval habitats in rural Uganda using geographic ProfilingK23AI141764 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI BOYCE, ROSS MATHEW · 2019 to 2023
$944k
Doris Duke Charitable Foundation 2015213NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002489NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI141764NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI145821NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050924NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD050924NIH HHS K23AI141764
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMalaria epidemics result from extreme precipitation and flooding, which are increasing with global climate change. Local adaptation and mitigation strategies will be essential to prevent excess morbidity and mortality.

methodsWe investigated the spatial risk of malaria infection at multiple timepoints after severe flooding in rural western Uganda employing longitudinal household surveys measuring parasite prevalence and leveraging remotely sensed information to inform spatial models of malaria risk in the 3 months after flooding.

resultsWe identified clusters of malaria risk emerging in areas (1) that showed the greatest changes in Normalized Difference Vegetation Index from pre- to postflood and (2) where residents were displaced for longer periods of time and had lower access to long-lasting insecticidal nets, both of which were associated with a positive malaria rapid diagnostic test result. The disproportionate risk persisted despite a concurrent chemoprevention program that achieved high coverage.

conclusionsThe findings enhance our understanding not only of the spatial evolution of malaria risk after flooding, but also in the context of an effective intervention. The results provide a "proof of concept" for programs aiming to prevent malaria outbreaks after flooding using a combination of interventions. Further study of mitigation strategies-and particularly studies of implementation-is urgently needed.

Indexed as

InsecticidesMalariaChemopreventionHumansLongitudinal StudiesUgandaInsecticidesclimate changefloodingmalariaPlasmodium

Identifiers

PMID37584317
PMCPMC10786254
OpenAlexW4385851316

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.