ArticleJournal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract2023
Evaluation of the ACS-NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator in Patients with Hepatic Metastases from Colorectal Cancer Undergoing Liver Resection.
Article in Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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3 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.
- Surgeon-Informed Clinical Decision Support Software for Surgical Risk Prediction and Outcomes Tracking.The Journal of surgical research · 2025Article
- PEDRA-EFB0: colorectal cancer prognostication using deep learning with patch embeddings and dual residual attention.Medical & biological engineering & computing · 2025Article
- Predictive value of the American college of surgeons "surgical risk calculator" (ACS-NSQIP SRC) for plastic and reconstructive surgery: a validation study from an academic tertiary referral center in Germany.Patient safety in surgery · 2025Article
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10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program surgical risk calculator (ACS-NSQIP SRC) has been designed to predict morbidity and mortality and help stratify surgical patients. This study evaluates the performance of the SRC for patients undergoing surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).
methodsSRC was retrospectively computed for patients undergoing liver or simultaneous colon and liver surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC) in two high tertiary referral centres from 2011 to 2020. C-statistics and Brier score were calculated as a mean of discrimination and calibration respectively, for both group and for every level of surgeon adjustment score (SAS) for liver resections in case of simultaneous liver-colon surgery. An AUC ≥ 0.7 shows acceptable discrimination; a Brier score next to 0 means the prediction tool has good calibration.
resultsFour hundred ten patients were included, 153 underwent simultaneous resection, and 257 underwent liver-only resections. For simultaneous surgery, the ACS-NSQIP SRC showed good calibration and discrimination only for cardiac complication (AUC = 0.720, 0.740, and 0.702 for liver resection unadjusted, SAS-2, and SAS-3 respectively; 0.714 for colon resection; and Brier score = 0.04 in every case). For liver-only surgery, it only showed good calibration for cardiac complications (Brier score = 0.03). The SRC underestimated the incidence of overall complications, pneumonia, cardiac complications, and the length of hospital stay.
conclusionsACS-NSQIP SRC showed good predicting capabilities only for 1 out of 5 evaluated outcomes; therefore, it is not a reliable tool for patients undergoing liver surgery for CRLM, both in the simultaneous and staged resections.
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