Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37579425›Full record

ReviewInternational journal of health policy and management2023

Model Choice for Quantitative Health Impact Assessment and Modelling: An Expert Consultation and Narrative Literature Review.

Natalie Mueller, Rodrigo Anderle, Nicolai Brachowicz, Helton Graziadei, Simon J Lloyd, Gabriel de Sampaio Morais, Alberto Pietro Sironi, Karina Gibert, Cathryn Tonne, Mark Nieuwenhuijsen and 1 more

Open access · diamondAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in International journal of health policy and management, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
6.0field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Relevance and challenges of exposome studies for environmental health research.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2026
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
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  10. The methodology of quantitative risk assessment studies.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2024
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Natalie MuellerISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8456-2339
Rodrigo AnderleInstitute of Collective Health (ISC), Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil.
Nicolai BrachowiczISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.
Helton GraziadeiSchool of Applied Mathematics, Getulio Vargas Foundation, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Simon J LloydISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.
Gabriel de Sampaio MoraisInstitute of Collective Health (ISC), Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil.
Alberto Pietro SironiInstitute of Collective Health (ISC), Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil.
Karina GibertIntelligent Data Science and Artificial Intelligence Research Center, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (IDEAI-UPC), Barcelona, Spain.
Cathryn TonneISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.
Mark NieuwenhuijsenISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.
Davide RasellaISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-7260-4386
Barcelona Institute for Global Health · ESUniversidade Federal da Bahia · BRPompeu Fabra University · ESFundação Getulio Vargas · BRUniversitat Politècnica de Catalunya · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHealth impact assessment (HIA) is a widely used process that aims to identify the health impacts, positive or negative, of a policy or intervention that is not necessarily placed in the health sector. Most HIAs are done prospectively and aim to forecast expected health impacts under assumed policy implementation. HIAs may quantitatively and/ or qualitatively assess health impacts, with this study focusing on the former. A variety of quantitative modelling methods exist that are used for forecasting health impacts, however, they differ in application area, data requirements, assumptions, risk modelling, complexities, limitations, strengths, and comprehensibility. We reviewed relevant models, so as to provide public health researchers with considerations for HIA model choice.

methodsBased on an HIA expert consultation, combined with a narrative literature review, we identified the most relevant models that can be used for health impact forecasting. We narratively and comparatively reviewed the models, according to their fields of application, their configuration and purposes, counterfactual scenarios, underlying assumptions, health risk modelling, limitations and strengths.

resultsSeven relevant models for health impacts forecasting were identified, consisting of (

conclusionThe reviewed models have specific characteristics, related to available data and parameter structures, computational implementation, interpretation and comprehensibility, which the researcher should critically consider before HIA model choice.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceHealth Impact AssessmentHumansPolicyPolicy MakingPublic HealthEx-Ante Impact EvaluationForecastHealth Impact AssessmenModellingPolicy

Identifiers

PMID37579425
PMCPMC10461835
OpenAlexW4321353217

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.