ArticleIJID regions2023
Evidence of HIV incidence reduction in young women, but not in adolescent girls, in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Article in IJID regions, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Behavioral HIV-serosurvey reveals clustering of risk factors likely plays a key role in sustaining HIV epidemic in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Masibambane (Let Us Work Together), Ladies Chat: Pilot Evaluation of an Online, Gender-Enhanced, Group-Interactive Workshop to Promote Oral PrEP to Young South African Women.AIDS and behavior · 2025Article
- Cost-effective pricing of long-acting injectable HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis for adolescent girls and young women in South Africa: a model-based analysis.The Lancet. Global health · 2025Article
- Is HIV epidemic control by 2030 realistic?The lancet. HIV · 2024Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Objectives: We estimated changes in the HIV incidence from 2013-2018 in Eshowe/Mbongolwane, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa where Médecins Sans Frontières is engaged in providing HIV testing and care since 2011. Methods: Using data from two cross-sectional household-based surveys conducted in 2013 and 2018, with consenting participants aged 15-59 years, we applied the incidence estimation frameworks of Mahiane et al and Kassanjee et al. Results: In total, 5599 (62.4% women) and 3276 (65.9% women) individuals were included in 2013 and 2018, respectively. We found a mean incidence in women aged 20-29 years of 2.71 cases per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.23;4.19) in 2013 and 0.4 cases per 100 person-years (95% CI: 0.0;1.5) in 2018. The incidence in men aged 20-29 years was 1.91 cases per 100 person-years (95% CI: 0.87; 2.93) in 2013 and 0.53 cases per 100 person-years (95% CI: 0.0; 1.4) in 2018. The incidence decline among women aged 15-19 was -0.34 cases per 100 person-years (95% CI: -1.31;0.64). Conclusions: The lack of evidence of incidence decline among adolescent girls is noteworthy and disconcerting. Our findings suggest that large-scale surveys should seriously consider focusing their resources on the core group of women aged 15-19 years.
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