Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37576024›Full record

ArticleProceedings of machine learning research2023

Fair admission risk prediction with proportional multicalibration.

William G La Cava, Elle Lett, Guangya Wan

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of machine learning research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06434220 (Effect of Predictive Model on ED Physician Assessments of Patient Disposition), which is not on this map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06434220 nanot yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2027, after this paper: background citation

Effect of Predictive Model on ED Physician Assessments of Patient Disposition

TypeinterventionalSponsorBoston Children's HospitalRan2027 to 2027Enrolled10ConditionsPatient Outcome AssessmentArmsBaseline model, Fairness-aware model
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

William G La CavaComputational Health Informatics Program, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Elle LettComputational Health Informatics Program, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Guangya WanComputational Health Informatics Program, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.

Funding

RESEARCH TRAINING IN PEDIATRIC EMERGENCY MEDICINET32HD040128 · NICHD · CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL BOSTON · PI Kenneth D. Mandl · 2001 to 2026
$5.0M
Multi-objective representation learning methods for interpetable predictions of patient outcomesusing electronic health recordsR00LM012926 · NLM · BOSTON CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL · PI LA CAVA, WILLIAM · 2021 to 2023
$710k
NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD040128NLM NIH HHS R00 LM012926
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Fair calibration is a widely desirable fairness criteria in risk prediction contexts. One way to measure and achieve fair calibration is with multicalibration. Multicalibration constrains calibration error among flexibly-defined subpopulations while maintaining overall calibration. However, multicalibrated models can exhibit a higher percent calibration error among groups with lower base rates than groups with higher base rates. As a result, it is possible for a decision-maker to learn to trust or distrust model predictions for specific groups. To alleviate this, we propose

Identifiers

PMID37576024
PMCPMC10417639

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.