Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37568078›Full record

ArticleBMC bioinformatics2023

estimateR: an R package to estimate and monitor the effective reproductive number.

Jérémie Scire, Jana S Huisman, Ana Grosu, Daniel C Angst, Adrian Lison, Jinzhou Li, Marloes H Maathuis, Sebastian Bonhoeffer, Tanja Stadler

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC bioinformatics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed
11.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 54 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. EML4-ALK fusion rewires transcriptomic, miRNA, and CAF-associated programs in non-small cell lung cancer.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Article
  2. Single-cell immune subtyping of basophils in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma and a prognostic model based on bulk RNA sequencing.European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery · 2026
    Article
  3. Single-cell and bulk transcriptomic profiling of metabolism-related lncRNAs reveals tumor heterogeneity and prognostic markers in non-small cell lung cancer.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Jérémie Scire *Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Basel, Switzerland. scirejeremie@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0059-645X
Jana S Huisman *Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Basel, Switzerland.
Ana GrosuDepartment of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Basel, Switzerland.
Daniel C AngstDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland.
Adrian LisonDepartment of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Basel, Switzerland.
Jinzhou LiDepartment of Mathematics, ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland.
Marloes H MaathuisDepartment of Mathematics, ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland.
Sebastian BonhoefferDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland.
Tanja StadlerDepartment of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Basel, Switzerland. tanja.stadler@bsse.ethz.ch.
ETH Zurich · CHSIB Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics · CH

Funding

Swiss National Science Foundation 31CA30 196267
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate estimation of the effective reproductive number ([Formula: see text]) of epidemic outbreaks is of central relevance to public health policy and decision making. We present estimateR, an R package for the estimation of the reproductive number through time from delayed observations of infection events. Such delayed observations include confirmed cases, hospitalizations or deaths. The package implements the methodology of Huisman et al. but modularizes the [Formula: see text] estimation procedure to allow easy implementation of new alternatives to the currently available methods. Users can tailor their analyses according to their particular use case by choosing among implemented options.

resultsThe estimateR R package allows users to estimate the effective reproductive number of an epidemic outbreak based on observed cases, hospitalization, death or any other type of event documenting past infections, in a fast and timely fashion. We validated the implementation with a simulation study: estimateR yielded estimates comparable to alternative publicly available methods while being around two orders of magnitude faster. We then applied estimateR to empirical case-confirmation incidence data for COVID-19 in nine countries and for dengue fever in Brazil; in parallel, estimateR is already being applied (i) to SARS-CoV-2 measurements in wastewater data and (ii) to study influenza transmission based on wastewater and clinical data in other studies. In summary, this R package provides a fast and flexible implementation to estimate the effective reproductive number for various diseases and datasets.

conclusionsThe estimateR R package is a modular and extendable tool designed for outbreak surveillance and retrospective outbreak investigation. It extends the method developed for COVID-19 by Huisman et al. and makes it available for a variety of pathogens, outbreak scenarios, and observation types. Estimates obtained with estimateR can be interpreted directly or used to inform more complex epidemic models (e.g. for forecasting) on the value of [Formula: see text].

Indexed as

COVID-19Basic Reproduction NumberHumansRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2WastewaterWastewaterCOVID-19Effective reproductive numberEpidemiologyMonitoringOutbreakReR packageRtSurveillance

Identifiers

PMID37568078
PMCPMC10416499
OpenAlexW4385762723

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.