Analysis of factors affecting nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in Chinese steel workers and risk assessment studies.

backgroundThe global incidence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is rapidly escalating, positioning it as a principal public health challenge with significant implications for population well-being. Given its status as a cornerstone of China's economic structure, the steel industry employs a substantial workforce, consequently bringing associated health issues under increasing scrutiny. Establishing a risk assessment model for NAFLD within steelworkers aids in disease risk stratification among this demographic, thereby facilitating early intervention measures to protect the health of this significant populace.

methodsUse of cross-sectional studies. A total of 3328 steelworkers who underwent occupational health evaluations between January and September 2017 were included in this study. Hepatic steatosis was uniformly diagnosed via abdominal ultrasound. Influential factors were pinpointed using chi-square (χ

resultsThe findings indicated that sex, overweight, obesity, hyperuricemia, dyslipidemia, occupational dust exposure, and ALT serve as risk factors for NAFLD in steelworkers, with corresponding odds ratios (OR, 95% confidence interval (CI)) of 0.672 (0.487-0.928), 4.971 (3.981-6.207), 16.887 (12.99-21.953), 2.124 (1.77-2.548), 2.315 (1.63-3.288), 1.254 (1.014-1.551), and 3.629 (2.705-4.869), respectively. The sensitivity of the three models was reported as 0.607, 0.680 and 0.564, respectively, while the precision was 0.708, 0.643, and 0.701, respectively. The AUC measurements were 0.839, 0.839, and 0.832, and the Brier scores were 0.150, 0.153, and 0.155, respectively. The F1 score results were 0.654, 0.661, and 0.625, with log loss measures at 0.460, 0.661, and 0.564, respectively. R

conclusionsThe study identified sex, BMI, dyslipidemia, hyperuricemia, occupational dust exposure, and ALT as significant risk factors for NAFLD among steelworkers. The traditional logistic regression model proved equally effective as the random forest and XGBoost models in assessing NAFLD risk. The optimal cutoff value for risk assessment was determined to be 86. This study provides clinicians with a visually accessible risk stratification approach to gauge the propensity for NAFLD in steelworkers, thereby aiding early identification and intervention among those at risk.