Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37556473›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2023

Direct and indirect effects of age on dengue severity: The mediating role of secondary infection.

Esther Annan, Jesús Treviño, Bingxin Zhao, Alfonso J Rodriguez-Morales, Ubydul Haque

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.8field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Risk factors associated with dengue lethality: case-control study, Joinville, Brazil.Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Dengue and severe dengue.Clinical microbiology reviews · 2025
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Observational
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  12. Article
  13. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 5 institutions in 5 countries.

Esther AnnanCenter for Health and Wellbeing, School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-9816-0958
Jesús TreviñoDepartment of Urban Affairs at the School of Architecture, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, San Nicolás de los Garza, Nuevo Léon, México.
Bingxin ZhaoDepartment of Statistics and Data Science, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Alfonso J Rodriguez-MoralesFaculty of Health Sciences, Universidad Científica del Sur, Lima, Peru.
Ubydul HaqueRutgers Global Health Institute, New Brunswick, New Jersey, United States of America.
Princeton University · USRutgers, The State University of New Jersey · USUniversidad Autónoma de Nuevo León · MXUniversidad Científica del Sur · PEUniversity of Pennsylvania · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Severe dengue occurrence has been attributed to increasing age and different dengue virus (DENV) serotypes that cause secondary infections and immune-enhancing phenomena. Therefore, we examined if the effect of age on dengue severity was mediated by infectivity status while controlling for sex and region. Further, we assessed the spatial clustering of dengue severity for individuals with primary and secondary infection across Mexican municipalities. Health data from 2012 to 2017 was retrieved from Mexico's Ministry of Health. A mediation analysis was performed using multiple logistic regression models based on a directed acyclic graph. The models were explored for the direct effect of age on dengue severity and its indirect impact through secondary infection. In addition, severe dengue clusters were determined in some Northeastern and Southeastern municipalities through spatial analysis. We observed a nonlinear trend between age and severe dengue. There was a downward trend of severe dengue for individuals between 0 and 10 years and an upward trend above 10 years. The effect of age on dengue severity was no longer significant for individuals between 10 and 60 years after introducing infectivity status into the model. The mediating role of infectivity status in the causal model was 17%. Clustering of severe dengue among individuals with primary infection in the Northeastern region may point to the high prevalence of DENV-3 in the region. Public health efforts may prevent secondary infection among infants and the aged. In addition, there should be a further investigation into the effect of DENV-3 in individuals with primary disease.

Indexed as

CoinfectionDengueDengue VirusSevere DengueAgedAntibodies, ViralHumansInfantSerogroupAntibodies, Viral

Identifiers

PMID37556473
PMCPMC10441797
OpenAlexW4385693377

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.