Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37553397›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Leveraging an epidemic-economic mathematical model to assess human responses to COVID-19 policies and disease progression.

Wisdom S Avusuglo, Nicola Bragazzi, Ali Asgary, James Orbinski, Jianhong Wu, Jude Dzevela Kong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Wisdom S AvusugloAfrica-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC), Laboratory for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, York University, Toronto, Canada.
Nicola BragazziAfrica-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC), Laboratory for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, York University, Toronto, Canada.
Ali AsgaryAfrica-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC), The Advanced Disaster, Emergency and Rapid Response Program, York University, Toronto, Canada.
James OrbinskiAfrica-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC), The Dahdaleh Institute for Global Health Research, York University, Toronto, Canada.
Jianhong WuAfrica-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC), Laboratory for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, York University, Toronto, Canada.
Jude Dzevela KongAfrica-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC), Laboratory for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, York University, Toronto, Canada. jdkong@yorku.ca.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It is imperative that resources are channelled towards programs that are efficient and cost effective in combating the spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). This study proposed and analyzed control strategies for that purpose. We developed a mathematical disease model within an optimal control framework that allows us to investigate the best approach for curbing COVID-19 epidemic. We address the following research question: what is the role of community compliance as a measure for COVID-19 control? Analyzing the impact of community compliance of recommended guidelines by health authorities-examples, social distancing, face mask use, and sanitizing-coupled with efforts by health authorities in areas of vaccine provision and effective quarantine-showed that the best intervention in addition to implementing vaccination programs and effective quarantine measures, is the active incorporation of individuals' collective behaviours, and that resources should also be directed towards community campaigns on the importance of face mask use, social distancing, and frequent sanitizing, and any other collective activities. We also demonstrated that collective behavioral response of individuals influences the disease dynamics; implying that recommended health policy should be contextualized.

Indexed as

COVID-19Disease ProgressionHumansModels, TheoreticalPolicyQuarantineSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID37553397
PMCPMC10409770

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.