Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37549286›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Double stress of waterlogging and drought drives forest-savanna coexistence.

Caio R C Mattos, Marina Hirota, Rafael S Oliveira, Bernardo M Flores, Gonzalo Miguez-Macho, Yadu Pokhrel, Ying Fan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Halibee member archaeology: Middle Stone Age environment, technology, and postmortem modifications.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Distribution pattern of large oldEcology and evolution · 2024
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Seasonal flooding shapes forest-savanna transitions.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  14. Double stress of waterlogging and drought drives forest-savanna coexistence.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Caio R C MattosDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ 08854.ORCID 0000-0002-8635-3901
Marina HirotaDepartment of Physics, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianópolis 88040-900, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-1958-3651
Rafael S OliveiraDepartment of Plant Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas 13083-862, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-6392-2526
Bernardo M FloresGraduate Program in Ecology, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianópolis 88040-900, Brazil.
Gonzalo Miguez-MachoCRETUS, Non-Linear Physics Group, Faculty of Physics, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela 15782, Spain.
Yadu PokhrelDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824.ORCID 0000-0002-1367-216X
Ying FanDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ 08854.ORCID 0000-0002-0024-7965

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Forest-savanna boundaries are ecotones that support complex ecosystem functions and are sensitive to biotic/abiotic perturbations. What drives their distribution today and how it may shift in the future are open questions. Feedbacks among climate, fire, herbivory, and land use are known drivers. Here, we show that alternating seasonal drought and waterlogging stress favors the dominance of savanna-like ecosystems over forests. We track the seasonal water-table depth as an indicator of water stress when too deep and oxygen stress when too shallow and map forest/savanna occurrence within this double-stress space in the neotropics. We find that under a given annual precipitation, savannas are favored in landscape positions experiencing double stress, which is more common as the dry season strengthens (climate driver) but only found in waterlogged lowlands (terrain driver). We further show that hydrological changes at the end of the century may expose some flooded forests to savanna expansion, affecting biodiversity and soil carbon storage. Our results highlight the importance of land hydrology in understanding/predicting forest-savanna transitions in a changing world.

Indexed as

EcosystemGrasslandClimateDroughtsForestsTreesAmazonforest savanna transitionshydrologytropical ecology

Identifiers

PMID37549286
PMCPMC10438376

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.