Comparison of the epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal disease between Australia and New Zealand in 2017-2021: an observational study based on surveillance data.

Background: The Australian immunisation schedule uses 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13), while New Zealand (NZ) changed from PCV13 to 10-valent PCV (PCV10) in 2017. In NZ, cases of serotype 19A (not in PCV10) have been increasing since 2017. We compared invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) epidemiology between Australia and NZ in 2017-2021. Methods: We collated IPD notification data from national surveillance systems. Between Australia and NZ, we compared IPD incidence rates and assessed the proportion of serotype 19A, and stratified for ethnicity and age. Findings: Between 2017 and 2021, the crude IPD incidence per 100,000 in Australia ranged from 4.3 to 8.4, and ranged from 6.9 to 11.4 in NZ. The highest age-adjusted IPD rates were observed in Australian Indigenous people (range: 27.3-35.5) followed by NZ Māori/Pacific peoples (range 19.7-30.4). For children <2 years, ethnicity-adjusted IPD rates were similar between Australia and NZ in 2017-2020. In 2021, however, the ethnicity-adjusted incidence in children <2 years was higher in NZ (30.2; 95% CI 21.1-39.4) than in Australia (23.3 95% CI: 19.5-27.1) (p < 0.01). In Australia, the proportion of serotype 19A remained 5%, whereas in NZ serotype 19A increased from 11.5% to 29.5% with the largest increase in children <2 years and 2-4 years. Interpretation: Despite higher risks in Indigenous populations in Australia compared to all other groups, the overall IPD rate in NZ is increasing, particularly among children. The numbers and proportions of IPD due to serotype 19A are increasing in NZ especially in children. These data support the NZ decision from December 2022 to change to PCV13. Funding: This research received no specific funding.