Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37544417›Full record

ArticleNeuroImage2023

A primer on Variational Laplace (VL).

Peter Zeidman, Karl Friston, Thomas Parr

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NeuroImage, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The Free Energy Principle and Free Markets.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
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  9. Five Fristonian Formulae.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
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  12. SPM-30 years and beyond.Cerebral cortex (New York, N.Y. : 1991) · 2025
    Review
  13. Spectral imprint of structural embedding in effective connectivity.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  14. Priors and proprioceptive predictions.Current opinion in behavioral sciences · 2025
    Article
  15. Dynamic causal modelling in probabilistic programming languages.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2025
    Article
  16. BSD: A Bayesian Framework for Parametric Models of Neural Spectra.The European journal of neuroscience · 2025
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Peter ZeidmanWellcome Centre for Human Neuroimaging, UCL, 12 Queen Square, London WC1N 3AR, United Kingdom. Electronic address: peter.zeidman@ucl.ac.uk.
Karl FristonWellcome Centre for Human Neuroimaging, UCL, 12 Queen Square, London WC1N 3AR, United Kingdom.
Thomas ParrWellcome Centre for Human Neuroimaging, UCL, 12 Queen Square, London WC1N 3AR, United Kingdom.

Funding

Wellcome Trust 203147/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This article details a scheme for approximate Bayesian inference, which has underpinned thousands of neuroimaging studies since its introduction 15 years ago. Variational Laplace (VL) provides a generic approach to fitting linear or non-linear models, which may be static or dynamic, returning a posterior probability density over the model parameters and an approximation of log model evidence, which enables Bayesian model comparison. VL applies variational Bayesian inference in conjunction with quadratic or Laplace approximations of the evidence lower bound (free energy). Importantly, update equations do not need to be derived for each model under consideration, providing a general method for fitting a broad class of models. This primer is intended for experimenters and modellers who may wish to fit models to data using variational Bayesian methods, without assuming previous experience of variational Bayes or machine learning. Accompanying code demonstrates how to fit different kinds of model using the reference implementation of the VL scheme in the open-source Statistical Parametric Mapping (SPM) software package. In addition, we provide a standalone software function that does not require SPM, in order to ease translation to other fields, together with detailed pseudocode. Finally, the supplementary materials provide worked derivations of the key equations.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsNeuroimagingBayes TheoremHumansMachine LearningSoftwareBayesDCMModellingVariational Laplace

Identifiers

PMID37544417
PMCPMC10951963

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.