Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37542465›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2023

Public Health Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Screening for Active Tuberculosis Disease or Infection Among Children in South Africa.

Joseph Brough, Leonardo Martinez, Mark Hatherill, Heather J Zar, Nathan C Lo, Jason R Andrews

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Joseph BroughNational Capital Consortium, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7772-6841
Leonardo MartinezDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Mark HatherillSouth African Tuberculosis Vaccine Initiative, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, and Division of Immunology, Department of Pathology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Heather J ZarDepartment of Pediatrics and Child Health, Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital and SA-MRC Unit on Child & Adolescent Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Nathan C LoDivision of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.
Jason R AndrewsDivision of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.
University of Cape Town · ZABoston University · USStanford University · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USWalter Reed National Military Medical Center · US

Funding

Global Epidemiology of Infectious DiseasesT32AI052073 · NIAID · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI Angelle Desiree LaBeaud, Stephen Patrick Luby · 2003 to 2026
$4.2M
Host blood biomarkers for the diagnosis prognosis and treatment response of childhood TBR01AI143636 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN · PI HATHERILL, MARK · 2019 to 2024
$4.0M
Real-time predictive modeling for public health departments to control infectious diseasesDP2AI170485 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Nathan Lo · 2022 to 2026
$2.3M
Identifying effective and efficient approaches to tuberculosis screening in BrazilianprisonsK01AI156022 · NIAID · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI MARTINEZ, LEONARDO · 2021 to 2025
$640k
NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI156022NIAID NIH HHS L40 AI140340NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI143636NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI052073NIH HHS
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough tuberculosis disease is a leading cause of global childhood mortality, there remain major gaps in diagnosis, treatment, and prevention in children because tuberculosis control programs rely predominantly on presentation of symptomatic children or contact tracing. We assessed the public health impact and cost-effectiveness of age-based routine screening and contact tracing in children in South Africa.

methodsWe used a deterministic mathematical model to evaluate age-based routine screening in 1-year increments from ages 0 to 5 years, with and without contact tracing and preventive treatment. Screening incorporated symptom history and tuberculin skin testing, with chest x-ray and GeneXpert Ultra for confirmatory testing. We projected tuberculosis cases, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and costs (in 2021 U.S. dollars) and evaluated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios comparing each intervention.

resultsRoutine screening at age 2 years with contact tracing and preventive treatment averted 11 900 tuberculosis cases (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6160-15 730), 1360 deaths (95% CI: 260-3800), and 40 000 DALYs (95% CI: 13 000-100 000) in the South Africa pediatric population over 1 year compared with the status quo. This combined strategy was cost-effective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $9050 per DALY; 95% CI: 2890-22 920) and remained cost-effective above an annual risk of infection of 1.6%. For annual risk of infection between 0.8% and 1.6%, routine screening at age 2 years was the dominant strategy.

conclusionsRoutine screening for tuberculosis among young children combined with contact tracing and preventive treatment would have a large public health impact and be cost-effective in preventing pediatric tuberculosis deaths in high-incidence settings such as South Africa.

Indexed as

Public HealthTuberculosisChildChild, PreschoolCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansInfantModels, TheoreticalSouth Africacontact investigationsmodelingpediatricspreventive treatmenttuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID37542465
PMCPMC10686943
OpenAlexW4385602082

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.