Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37542334›Full record

ArticleGlobalization and health2023

Spatial-temporal trends in global childhood overweight and obesity from 1975 to 2030: a weight mean center and projection analysis of 191 countries.

Liwang Gao, Wen Peng, Hong Xue, Yang Wu, Haixia Zhou, Peng Jia, Youfa Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Globalization and health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Prevalence of Overweight and Obesity and Their Impact on Lung Function in Healthy Bulgarian Children and Adolescents: A Cross-Sectional Study.Pathophysiology : the official journal of the International Society for Pathophysiology · 2026
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  8. A Scoping Review of Instruments Used to Measure Weight and Body Composition in Infants Under 1 Year.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Liwang Gao *School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China. glw_0502@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0908-3239
Wen Peng *Nutrition and Health Promotion Center, Department of Public Health, Medical College, Qinghai University, Xining, China.
Hong XueInternational Obesity and Metabolic Disease Research Center, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.
Yang WuInternational Obesity and Metabolic Disease Research Center, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.
Haixia ZhouGlobal Health Institute, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, China.
Peng JiaSchool of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Youfa WangGlobal Health Institute, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, China. youfawang@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe geographic information science-based interactive map provided good prospects for the public health to study disease prevalence. The purpose of this study is to understand global spatial-temporal trends of childhood overweight and obesity and underlying causes help formulating intervention strategies.

methodsThis multiple cross-sectional study included data on childhood overweight and obesity prevalence, gross national income per capita, and urbanization rate for 191 countries from 1975-2016. Autoregressive integrated moving average model, standard deviational ellipse model and mixed-effects models were used to explore spatial-temporal trends of childhood overweight and obesity and associations with gross national income per capita and urbanization rate.

resultsGlobally, childhood overweight and obesity rate would reach 30.0% in 2030 (boys: 34.2%, girls: 27.4%). By 2030, it would reach 58.3% in middle- and high-income countries and 68.1% in Western Pacific region. Spatial-temporal trendline for childhood overweight and obesity in 1975-2030 exhibited a "C" shape, migrating from 1975 (15.6

conclusionsGlobally, childhood overweight and obesity prevalence will continue to increase. Its weight mean center migrated from western countries to Asia and Africa following economic development.

Indexed as

Pediatric ObesityAsiaBody Mass IndexCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansIncomeMaleOverweightPrevalenceChildren and adolescentsGlobalOverweight and obesityProjectionTrends

Identifiers

PMID37542334
PMCPMC10403851

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.