Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37542106›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Development of a machine learning-based prediction model for sepsis-associated delirium in the intensive care unit.

Yang Zhang, Juanjuan Hu, Tianfeng Hua, Jin Zhang, Zhongheng Zhang, Min Yang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
11.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 54 citations in OpenAlex.

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  20. Factors linked to lung cancer in MIMIC-IV database.Journal of thoracic disease · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Yang ZhangThe Second Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, 230601, Anhui, People's Republic of China.
Juanjuan HuThe Second Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, 230601, Anhui, People's Republic of China.
Tianfeng HuaThe Second Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, 230601, Anhui, People's Republic of China.
Jin ZhangThe Second Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, 230601, Anhui, People's Republic of China.
Zhongheng ZhangDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No. 3, Hangzhou, 310016, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.
Min YangThe Second Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, 230601, Anhui, People's Republic of China. yangmin@ahmu.edu.cn.
Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University · CNAnhui Medical University · CNZhejiang University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Septic patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) often develop sepsis-associated delirium (SAD), which is strongly associated with poor prognosis. The aim of this study is to develop a machine learning-based model for the early prediction of SAD. Patient data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database and the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD). The MIMIC-IV data were divided into a training set and an internal validation set, while the eICU-CRD data served as an external validation set. Feature variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, and prediction models were built using logistic regression, support vector machines, decision trees, random forests, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), k-nearest neighbors and naive Bayes methods. The performance of the models was evaluated in the validation set. The model was also applied to a group of patients who were not assessed or could not be assessed for delirium. The MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD databases included 14,620 and 1723 patients, respectively, with a median time to diagnosis of SAD of 24 and 30 h. Compared with Non-SAD patients, SAD patients had higher 28-days ICU mortality rates and longer ICU stays. Among the models compared, the XGBoost model had the best performance and was selected as the final model (internal validation area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC) = 0.793, external validation AUROC = 0.701). The XGBoost model outperformed other models in predicting SAD. The establishment of this predictive model allows for earlier prediction of SAD compared to traditional delirium assessments and is applicable to patients who are difficult to assess with traditional methods.

Indexed as

DeliriumSepsis-Associated EncephalopathyBayes TheoremHumansIntensive Care UnitsMachine Learning

Identifiers

PMID37542106
PMCPMC10403605
OpenAlexW4385567617

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.