Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37542082›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Forecasting Brassica napus production under climate change with a mechanistic species distribution model.

Cláudia Eduarda Borges, Ronnie Von Dos Santos Veloso, Crislaine Alves da Conceição, Débora Sampaio Mendes, Nadiezhda Yz Ramirez-Cabral, Farzin Shabani, Mahyat Shafapourtehrany, Marcela Carlota Nery, Ricardo Siqueira da Silva

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
9.8field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. Genome Analysis ofInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2024
    Article
  11. Olfactory learning inProceedings. Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 5 countries.

Cláudia Eduarda BorgesUniversidade Federal dos Vales Jequitinhonha e Mucuri, Campus JK, Rodovia MGT 367 - Km 583, nº 5.000, Alto da Jacuba, Diamantina, MG, CEP 39100-000, Brazil.
Ronnie Von Dos Santos VelosoUniversidade Federal dos Vales Jequitinhonha e Mucuri, Campus JK, Rodovia MGT 367 - Km 583, nº 5.000, Alto da Jacuba, Diamantina, MG, CEP 39100-000, Brazil.
Crislaine Alves da ConceiçãoUniversidade Federal dos Vales Jequitinhonha e Mucuri, Campus JK, Rodovia MGT 367 - Km 583, nº 5.000, Alto da Jacuba, Diamantina, MG, CEP 39100-000, Brazil.
Débora Sampaio MendesUniversidade Federal dos Vales Jequitinhonha e Mucuri, Campus JK, Rodovia MGT 367 - Km 583, nº 5.000, Alto da Jacuba, Diamantina, MG, CEP 39100-000, Brazil.
Nadiezhda Yz Ramirez-CabralEcosystem Management, School of Environmental and Rural Science, University of New England, Armidale, NSW, 2351, Australia.
Farzin ShabaniDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Qatar University, P.O. Box 2713, Doha, Qatar. fshabani@qu.edu.qa.
Mahyat ShafapourtehranyKandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Department of Geodesy, Bogazici University, 34680, Cengelkoy, Istanbul, Turkey.
Marcela Carlota NeryUniversidade Federal dos Vales Jequitinhonha e Mucuri, Campus JK, Rodovia MGT 367 - Km 583, nº 5.000, Alto da Jacuba, Diamantina, MG, CEP 39100-000, Brazil.
Ricardo Siqueira da SilvaUniversidade Federal dos Vales Jequitinhonha e Mucuri, Campus JK, Rodovia MGT 367 - Km 583, nº 5.000, Alto da Jacuba, Diamantina, MG, CEP 39100-000, Brazil.
Universidade Federal dos Vales do Jequitinhonha e Mucuri · BRBoğaziçi University · TRQatar University · QAUniversidad Autónoma de Zacatecas "Francisco García Salinas" · MX

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Brassica napus, a versatile crop with significant socioeconomic importance, serves as a valuable source of nutrition for humans and animals while also being utilized in biodiesel production. The expansion potential of B. napus is profoundly influenced by climatic variations, yet there remains a scarcity of studies investigating the correlation between climatic factors and its distribution. This research employs CLIMEX to identify the current and future ecological niches of B. napus under the RCP 8.5 emission scenario, utilizing the Access 1.0 and CNRM-CM5 models for the time frame of 2040-2059. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis of parameters was conducted to determine the primary climatic factors affecting B. napus distribution and model responsiveness. The simulated outcomes demonstrate a satisfactory alignment with the known current distribution of B. napus, with 98% of occurrence records classified as having medium to high climatic suitability. However, the species displays high sensitivity to thermal parameters, thereby suggesting that temperature increases could trigger shifts in suitable and unsuitable areas for B. napus, impacting regions such as Canada, China, Brazil, and the United States.

Indexed as

Brassica napusAnimalsBrazilClimate ChangeEcosystemForecastingHumans

Identifiers

PMID37542082
PMCPMC10403512
OpenAlexW4385610983

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.