Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37537590›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2023

Predicting delayed methotrexate elimination in pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia patients: an innovative web-based machine learning tool developed through a multicenter, retrospective analysis.

Chang Jian, Siqi Chen, Zhuangcheng Wang, Yang Zhou, Yang Zhang, Ziyu Li, Jie Jian, Tingting Wang, Tianyu Xiang, Xiao Wang and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
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  5. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Chang JianCollege of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Siqi ChenCollege of Pharmacy, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Zhuangcheng WangBig Data Engineering Center, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yang ZhouDepartment of Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University, Jiangsu, China.
Yang ZhangCollege of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Ziyu LiCollege of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Jie JianCollege of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Tingting WangCollege of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Tianyu XiangDepartment of Pharmacy, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Xiao WangCollege of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yuntao JiaDepartment of Pharmacy, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Huilai WangDepartment of Information Center, University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China. 100788@hospital.cqmu.edu.cn.
Jun GongDepartment of Information Center, University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China. jun.gong_cqmu@outlook.com.
Chongqing Medical University · CNChildren's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University · CNNantong University · CN

Funding

Future Medicine Youth Innovation Team project of Chongqing Medical University W0081Intelligent medicine project of Chongqing Medical University YJSZHYX202224Intelligent medicine project of Chongqing Medical University ZHYX2019005Intelligent medicine project of Chongqing Medical University ZHYX202211Key project of Chongqing Science and Health Joint Medical Scientific Research Project 2022ZDXM020Science and Technology Research Project of Chongqing cstc2015shms-ztzx10011
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHigh-dose methotrexate (HD-MTX) is a potent chemotherapeutic agent used to treat pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). HD-MTX is known for cause delayed elimination and drug-related adverse events. Therefore, close monitoring of delayed MTX elimination in ALL patients is essential.

objectiveThis study aimed to identify the risk factors associated with delayed MTX elimination and to develop a predictive tool for its occurrence.

methodsPatients who received MTX chemotherapy during hospitalization were selected for inclusion in our study. Univariate and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) methods were used to screen for relevant features. Then four machine learning (ML) algorithms were used to construct prediction model in different sampling method. Furthermore, the performance of the model was evaluated using several indicators. Finally, the optimal model was deployed on a web page to create a visual prediction tool.

resultsThe study included 329 patients with delayed MTX elimination and 1400 patients without delayed MTX elimination who met the inclusion criteria. Univariate and LASSO regression analysis identified eleven predictors, including age, weight, creatinine, uric acid, total bilirubin, albumin, white blood cell count, hemoglobin, prothrombin time, immunological classification, and co-medication with omeprazole. The XGBoost algorithm with SMOTE exhibited AUROC of 0.897, AUPR of 0.729, sensitivity of 0.808, specificity of 0.847, outperforming the other models. And had AUROC of 0.788 in external validation.

conclusionThe XGBoost algorithm provides superior performance in predicting the delayed elimination of MTX. We have created a prediction tool to assist medical professionals in predicting MTX metabolic delay.

Indexed as

MethotrexatePrecursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-LymphomaChildCreatinineHumansInternetRetrospective StudiesCreatinineMethotrexateAcute lymphoblastic leukemiaDelayed metabolismMachine learningMethotrexate

Identifiers

PMID37537590
PMCPMC10398990
OpenAlexW4385549528

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.