Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37537408›Full record

ArticleNature food2023

Access to global wheat reserves determines country-level vulnerability to conflict-induced Ukrainian wheat supply disruption.

Leonardo Bertassello, Paul Winters, Marc F Müller

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Impact of extreme weather events on the US domestic supply chain of food manufacturing.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Leonardo BertasselloDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5168-2142
Paul WintersKeough School of Global Affairs, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9976-4534
Marc F MüllerDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA. mmuller1@nd.ed.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6406-8184

Funding

National Science Foundation (NSF) EAR 2142967
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Russia-Ukraine conflict reduced global wheat supplies, yet the food security implications vary across countries. We identify a 39% decrease in Ukrainian wheat exports in 2022 resulting in >70% import losses in some of the countries most vulnerable to these disruptions, with substantial impacts felt in Egypt, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Libya, Mauritania, Yemen and Lebanon. Differential impacts are a function of access to capital and international trade, suggesting the need for policy measures to defuse the impending food crisis.

Indexed as

CommerceTriticumInternationalityOmanYemen

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.