Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37533414›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2023

Population immunity of natural infection, primary-series vaccination, and booster vaccination in Qatar during the COVID-19 pandemic: an observational study.

Suelen H Qassim, Hiam Chemaitelly, Houssein H Ayoub, Peter Coyle, Patrick Tang, Hadi M Yassine, Asmaa A Al Thani, Hebah A Al-Khatib, Mohammad R Hasan, Zaina Al-Kanaani and 14 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Suelen H QassimInfectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar.
Hiam ChemaitellyInfectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar.
Houssein H AyoubMathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar.
Peter CoyleHamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Patrick TangDepartment of Pathology, Sidra Medicine, Doha, Qatar.
Hadi M YassineBiomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar.
Asmaa A Al ThaniBiomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar.
Hebah A Al-KhatibBiomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar.
Mohammad R HasanDepartment of Pathology, Sidra Medicine, Doha, Qatar.
Zaina Al-KanaaniHamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Einas Al-KuwariHamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Andrew JeremijenkoHamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Anvar Hassan KaleeckalHamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Ali Nizar LatifHamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Riyazuddin Mohammad ShaikHamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Hanan F Abdul-RahimDepartment of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar.
Gheyath K NasrallahBiomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar.
Mohamed Ghaith Al-KuwariPrimary Health Care Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Adeel A ButtDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, NY, USA.
Hamad Eid Al-RomaihiMinistry of Public Health, Doha, Qatar.
Mohamed H Al-ThaniMinistry of Public Health, Doha, Qatar.
Abdullatif Al-KhalHamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Roberto BertolliniMinistry of Public Health, Doha, Qatar.
Laith J Abu-RaddadInfectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar.
Hamad Medical Corporation · QAQatar University · QACornell University · USMinistry of Public Health · QAPrimary Health Care · QAQueen's University Belfast · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Waning of natural infection protection and vaccine protection highlight the need to evaluate changes in population immunity over time. Population immunity of previous SARS-CoV-2 infection or of COVID-19 vaccination are defined, respectively, as the overall protection against reinfection or against breakthrough infection at a given point in time in a given population. Methods: We estimated these population immunities in Qatar's population between July 1, 2020 and November 30, 2022, to discern generic features of the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2. Effectiveness of previous infection, mRNA primary-series vaccination, and mRNA booster (third-dose) vaccination in preventing infection were estimated, month by month, using matched, test-negative, case-control studies. Findings: Previous-infection effectiveness against reinfection was strong before emergence of Omicron, but declined with time after a wave and rebounded after a new wave. Effectiveness dropped after Omicron emergence from 88.3% (95% CI: 84.8-91.0%) in November 2021 to 51.0% (95% CI: 48.3-53.6%) in December 2021. Primary-series effectiveness against infection was 84.0% (95% CI: 83.0-85.0%) in April 2021, soon after introduction of vaccination, before waning gradually to 52.7% (95% CI: 46.5-58.2%) by November 2021. Effectiveness declined linearly by ∼1 percentage point every 5 days. After Omicron emergence, effectiveness dropped from 52.7% (95% CI: 46.5-58.2%) in November 2021 to negligible levels in December 2021. Booster effectiveness dropped after Omicron emergence from 83.0% (95% CI: 65.6-91.6%) in November 2021 to 32.9% (95% CI: 26.7-38.5%) in December 2021, and continued to decline thereafter. Effectiveness of previous infection and vaccination against severe, critical, or fatal COVID-19 were generally >80% throughout the study duration. Interpretation: High population immunity against infection may not be sustained beyond a year, but population immunity against severe COVID-19 is durable with slow waning even after Omicron emergence. Funding: The Biomedical Research Program and the Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and the Biomathematics Research Core, both at Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Ministry of Public Health, Hamad Medical Corporation, Sidra Medicine, Qatar Genome Programme, Qatar University Biomedical Research Center, and Qatar University Internal Grant ID QUCG-CAS-23/24-114.

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemiologyImmunityNatural infectionTest-negativeVaccine

Identifiers

PMID37533414
PMCPMC10393554
OpenAlexW4385280647

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.