Observational studyJournal of surgical oncology2023
Long-term surveillance of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms without worrisome or high-risk features.
Observational study in Journal of surgical oncology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 7 citations in OpenAlex.
- Small cyst size and lack of growth as negative predictors of malignant transformation in low-risk intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: A systematic review and meta-analysis.United European gastroenterology journal · 2025Pooled it
- A Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Review of Pancreatic Cysts and Malignancy in Cystic Fibrosis Lung Transplant Recipients.Digestive diseases and sciences · 2026Observational
- Progress, challenges, and future directions of pancreatic cancer surveillance in high-risk populations.Communications medicine · 2026Review
- Mucinous vs. non-mucinous pancreatic cysts: diagnostic keys on CT and MRI.Abdominal radiology (New York) · 2026Review
- Current Considerations in Nonoperative Surveillance of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms.Digestive disease interventions · 2025Article
- Current considerations on intraductal papillary neoplasms of the bile duct and pancreatic duct.World journal of gastroenterology · 2024Article
- Pancreatic Cyst Management: A Multimodal and Interdisciplinary Approach.Journal of radiological scienceArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
9 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
introductionLong-term data evaluating clinical outcomes in patients with branch-duct Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) without high-risk stigmata (HRS) or worrisome features (WF) remain limited.
methodsThis observational cohort study included all patients diagnosed with BD-IPMN without HRS or WF between 2003 and 2019 who were enrolled in a prospective surveillance program. Time-to-progression analysis was performed using a cumulative incidence function plot and survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier.
resultsThe median follow-up time for the 267 patient cohort was 44.5 months (interquartile range [IQR]: 24.1-72.2). Radiographic cyst growth was observed in 123 (46.1%) patients; 65 (24.3%) patients progressed to WF/HRS. Twenty-six (9.7%) patients were selected for resection during surveillance: 21 (80.8%) WF, 4 (15.4%) HRS; 1 (3.9%) transformed to mixed-duct. Of all the patients who underwent resection, 5 (19.2%) had adenocarcinoma, and 1 (3.8%) had carcinoma-in-situ. The probability of any radiographic progression was 21.3% (5-year) and 51.3% (10-year). For the entire cohort, there was 1.1% mortality secondary to pancreatic adenocarcinoma and 8.2% all-cause mortality. The 5-year overall survival rate was 91.5%, and at 10 years, 81.5%.
conclusionApproximately one in four patients with nonworrisome BD-IPMN have progression to WF/HRS stigmata during surveillance. However, the risk of malignant transformation remains low. Surveillance strategy remains prudent in this patient population.
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