Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37525075›Full record

ArticleAdvances in therapy2023

Modeling of Treatment Outcomes with Tofacitinib Maintenance Therapy in Patients with Ulcerative Colitis: A Post Hoc Analysis of Data from the OCTAVE Clinical Program.

Michael Chiorean, Marco Daperno, Charlie W Lees, Gianluca Bonfanti, Dimitrios Soudis, Irene Modesto, J Jasper Deuring, Roger A Edwards

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Advances in therapy, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Michael ChioreanSwedish Medical Center, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4238-9988
Marco DapernoSC Gastroenterologia, AO Ordine Mauriziano di Torino, Turin, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0217-6603
Charlie W LeesInstitute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, & IBD UNIT, Western General Hospital, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0732-8215
Gianluca BonfantiEngineering Ingegneria Informatica, Milan, Italy.
Dimitrios SoudisPfizer Hellas S.A., Thessaloniki, Greece.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3863-1487
Irene ModestoPfizer Inc, New York, NY, USA.
J Jasper Deuring *Pfizer Netherlands GmbH, Rotterdam, The Netherlands. jasper.deuring@pfizer.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5888-4230
Roger A Edwards *Health Services Consulting Corporation, Boxborough, MA, USA.
A. O. Ordine Mauriziano di Torino · ITIngegneria dei Sistemi (Italy) · ITNHS Lothian · GBPfizer (Netherlands) · NLPfizer (United States) · USSwedish Medical Center · US

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/S034919/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionTofacitinib is an oral small molecule Janus kinase inhibitor for the treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC). This post hoc analysis assessed whether various statistical techniques could predict outcomes of tofacitinib maintenance therapy in patients with UC.

methodsData from patients who participated in a 52-week, phase III maintenance study (OCTAVE Sustain) and an open-label long-term extension study (OCTAVE Open) were included in this analysis. Patients received tofacitinib 5 or 10 mg twice daily (BID) or placebo (OCTAVE Sustain only). Logistic regression analyses were performed to generate models using clinical and laboratory variables to predict loss of responder status at week 8 of OCTAVE Sustain, steroid-free remission (defined as a partial Mayo score of 0-1 in the absence of corticosteroid use) at week 52 of OCTAVE Sustain, and delayed response at week 8 of OCTAVE Open. Furthermore, differences in loss of response/discontinuation patterns between treatment groups in OCTAVE Sustain were established.

resultsThe generated prediction models demonstrated insufficient accuracy for determining loss of response at week 8, steroid-free remission at week 52 in OCTAVE Sustain, or delayed response in OCTAVE Open. Both tofacitinib doses demonstrated comparable response/remission patterns based on visualizations of disease activity over time. The rectal bleeding subscore was the primary determinant of disease worsening (indicated by an increased total Mayo score), and the endoscopy subscore was the primary determinant of disease improvement (indicated by a decreased total Mayo score).

conclusionVisualizations of disease activity subscores revealed distinct patterns among patients with UC that had disease worsening and disease improvement. The statistical models assessed in this analysis could not accurately predict loss of responder status, steroid-free remission, or delayed response to tofacitinib. Possible reasons include the small sample size or missing data related to yet unknown key variables that were not collected during these trials.

Indexed as

Colitis, UlcerativeJanus Kinase InhibitorsClinical Trials, Phase III as TopicHumansPiperidinesPyrimidinesRemission InductionTreatment OutcomeJanus Kinase InhibitorsPiperidinesPyrimidinestofacitinibInflammatory bowel diseaseStatisticsUlcerative colitis

Identifiers

PMID37525075
PMCPMC10500009
OpenAlexW4385410807

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.