Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37515214›Full record

ArticleViruses2023

The Impact of Spring Festival Travel on Epidemic Spreading in China.

Hao-Chen Sun, Sen Pei, Lin Wang, Yuan-Yuan Sun, Xiao-Ke Xu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Viruses, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hao-Chen SunCollege of Computer Science and Technology, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8282-3972
Sen PeiDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, USA.
Lin WangDepartment of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3EH, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5371-2138
Yuan-Yuan SunCollege of Computer Science and Technology, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China.
Xiao-Ke XuComputational Communication Research Center, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai 519087, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9148-3145

Funding

Quantifying Error Growth to Improve Infectious Disease Forecast AccuracyR01AI163023 · NIAID · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI JEFFREY L SHAMAN · 2021 to 2026
$3.3M
ACL HHS U01CK000592CDC HHS U01CK000592, 75D30122C14289NCEZID CDC HHS U01 CK000592NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI163023
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The large population movement during the Spring Festival travel in China can considerably accelerate the spread of epidemics, especially after the relaxation of strict control measures against COVID-19. This study aims to assess the impact of population migration in Spring Festival holiday on epidemic spread under different scenarios. Using inter-city population movement data, we construct the population flow network during the non-holiday time as well as the Spring Festival holiday. We build a large-scale metapopulation model to simulate the epidemic spread among 371 Chinese cities. We analyze the impact of Spring Festival travel on the peak timing and peak magnitude nationally and in each city. Assuming an

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemicsChinaHolidaysHumansTravelChinaepidemic spreadmetapopulation modelSpring Festival traveltransportation network

Identifiers

PMID37515214
PMCPMC10384880

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.