Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37511754›Full record

ArticleJournal of personalized medicine2023

Multidimensional Machine Learning Model to Calculate a COVID-19 Vulnerability Index.

Paula Andrea Rosero Perez, Juan Sebastián Realpe Gonzalez, Ricardo Salazar-Cabrera, David Restrepo, Diego M López, Bernd Blobel

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of personalized medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Paula Andrea Rosero PerezResearch Group in Telematics Engineering, Telematics Department, Universidad del Cauca, Popayán 190002, Colombia.ORCID 0009-0003-4148-1138
Juan Sebastián Realpe GonzalezResearch Group in Telematics Engineering, Telematics Department, Universidad del Cauca, Popayán 190002, Colombia.ORCID 0009-0009-1982-7116
Ricardo Salazar-CabreraResearch Group in Telematics Engineering, Telematics Department, Universidad del Cauca, Popayán 190002, Colombia.ORCID 0000-0002-7552-1383
David RestrepoResearch Group in Telematics Engineering, Telematics Department, Universidad del Cauca, Popayán 190002, Colombia.ORCID 0000-0002-3789-1957
Diego M LópezResearch Group in Telematics Engineering, Telematics Department, Universidad del Cauca, Popayán 190002, Colombia.ORCID 0000-0001-9425-4375
Bernd BlobelMedical Faculty, University of Regensburg, 93053 Regensburg, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In Colombia, the first case of COVID-19 was confirmed on 6 March 2020. On 13 March 2023, Colombia registered 6,360,780 confirmed positive cases of COVID-19, representing 12.18% of the total population. The National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE) in Colombia published in 2020 a COVID-19 vulnerability index, which estimates the vulnerability (per city block) of being infected with COVID-19. Unfortunately, DANE did not consider multiple factors that could increase the risk of COVID-19 (in addition to demographic and health), such as environmental and mobility data (found in the related literature). The proposed multidimensional index considers variables of different types (unemployment rate, gross domestic product, citizens' mobility, vaccination data, and climatological and spatial information) in which the incidence of COVID-19 is calculated and compared with the incidence of the COVID-19 vulnerability index provided by DANE. The collection, data preparation, modeling, and evaluation phases of the Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining methodology (CRISP-DM) were considered for constructing the index. The multidimensional index was evaluated using multiple machine learning models to calculate the incidence of COVID-19 cases in the main cities of Colombia. The results showed that the best-performing model to predict the incidence of COVID-19 in Colombia is the Extra Trees Regressor algorithm, obtaining an R-squared of 0.829. This work is the first step toward a multidimensional analysis of COVID-19 risk factors, which has the potential to support decision making in public health programs. The results are also relevant for calculating vulnerability indexes for other viral diseases, such as dengue.

Indexed as

COVID-19datasetmachine learningvulnerability index

Identifiers

PMID37511754
PMCPMC10381838

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.