Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37507217›Full record

ArticleGut2023

Growth rates and histopathological outcomes of small (6-9 mm) colorectal polyps based on CT colonography surveillance and endoscopic removal.

B Dustin Pooler, David H Kim, Kristina A Matkowskyj, Michael A Newton, Richard B Halberg, William M Grady, Cesare Hassan, Perry J Pickhardt

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gut, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. The CT colonography radiology and data system: history, updates, and future directions.Cancer imaging : the official publication of the International Cancer Imaging Society · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. CT colonography: revisited after 30 years.Insights into imaging · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. The Hallmarks of Precancer.Cancer discovery · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

B Dustin PoolerDepartment of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin, USA.
David H KimDepartment of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4215-174X
Kristina A MatkowskyjDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin, USA.
Michael A NewtonDepartment of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin, USA.
Richard B HalbergDepartment of Medicine, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin, USA.
William M GradyDepartment of Medicine, Division of Gastroentrology, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Cesare HassanDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-7167-1459
Perry J PickhardtDepartment of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin, USA ppickhardt2@uwhealth.org.ORCID 0000-0002-5534-8202
University of Wisconsin–Madison · USHumanitas University · ITUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

(PQ6) Radiogenomics of colorectal polyps to assess benign proliferative vs. premalignant states.R01CA220004 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI GRADY, WILLIAM MALLORY, HALBERG, RICHARD BROTT · 2017 to 2021
$3.2M
Clinical Translation of a One-Stop-Shop Imaging Method for Abdominal CTR01EB032374 · NIBIB · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI CHEN, GUANG-HONG, LUBNER, MEGHAN GALVIN · 2022 to 2025
$2.4M
Virtual Colonoscopy and Colorectal Cancer ScreeningR01CA144835 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI PICKHARDT, PERRY, SMITH, MAUREEN A · 2010 to 2013
$2.1M
Ultra-Low Radiation Dose Body CT ImagingR01CA169331 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI CHEN, GUANG-HONG, PICKHARDT, PERRY · 2012 to 2016
$1.4M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA144835NCI NIH HHS R01 CA169331NCI NIH HHS R01 CA220004NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB032374
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsThe natural history of small polyps is not well established and rests on limited evidence from barium enema studies decades ago. Patients with one or two small polyps (6-9 mm) at screening CT colonography (CTC) are offered CTC surveillance at 3 years but may elect immediate colonoscopy. This practice allows direct observation of the growth of subcentimetre polyps, with histopathological correlation in patients undergoing subsequent polypectomy.

designOf 11 165 asymptomatic patients screened by CTC over a period of 16.4 years, 1067 had one or two 6-9 mm polyps detected (with no polyps ≥10 mm). Of these, 314 (mean age, 57.4 years; M:F, 141:173; 375 total polyps) elected immediate colonoscopic polypectomy, and 382 (mean age 57.0 years; M:F, 217:165; 481 total polyps) elected CTC surveillance over a mean of 4.7 years. Volumetric polyp growth was analysed, with histopathological correlation for resected polyps. Polyp growth and regression were defined as volume change of ±20% per year, with rapid growth defined as +100% per year (annual volume doubling). Regression analysis was performed to evaluate predictors of advanced histology, defined as the presence of cancer, high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or villous components.

resultsOf the 314 patients who underwent immediate polypectomy, 67.8% (213/314) harboured adenomas, 2.2% (7/314) with advanced histology; no polyps contained cancer or HGD. Of 382 patients who underwent CTC surveillance, 24.9% (95/382) had polyps that grew, while 62.0% (237/382) remained stable and 13.1% (50/382) regressed in size. Of the 58.6% (224/382) CTC surveillance patients who ultimately underwent colonoscopic resection, 87.1% (195/224) harboured adenomas, 12.9% (29/224) with advanced histology. Of CTC surveillance patients with growing polyps who underwent resection, 23.2% (19/82) harboured advanced histology vs 7.0% (10/142) with stable or regressing polyps (OR: 4.0; p<0.001), with even greater risk of advanced histology in those with rapid growth (63.6%, 14/22, OR: 25.4; p<0.001). Polyp growth, but not patient age/sex or polyp morphology/location were significant predictors of advanced histology.

conclusionSmall 6-9 mm polyps present overall low risk to patients, with polyp growth strongly associated with higher risk lesions. Most patients (75%) with small 6-9 mm polyps will see polyp stability or regression, with advanced histology seen in only 7%. The minority of patients (25%) with small polyps that do grow have a 3-fold increased risk of advanced histology.

Indexed as

AdenomaColonic PolypsColonography, Computed TomographicColorectal NeoplasmsColonoscopyHumansMiddle AgedCOLONIC POLYPSCOLORECTAL ADENOMASCOLORECTAL CANCERCOMPUTER TOMOGRAPHY

Identifiers

PMID37507217
PMCPMC10822024
OpenAlexW4385340353

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.