Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37505423›Full record

ArticlePharmacoEconomics2023

De Novo Cost-Effectiveness Model Framework for Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis-Modeling Approach and Validation.

Peter Gal, Gyorgyi Feldmajer, Margarida Augusto, Ray Gani, Emma Hook, Ash Bullement, Zoe Philips, Inger Smith

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PharmacoEconomics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 34% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Peter GalEvidera, Budapest, Hungary.
Gyorgyi FeldmajerEvidera, Budapest, Hungary.
Margarida AugustoNovo Nordisk A/S, Vandtårnsvej 108-110, 2860, Søborg, Denmark. vmga@novonordisk.com.ORCID 0000-0002-2010-8284
Ray GaniEvidera, London, UK.
Emma HookDelta Hat, Nottingham, UK.
Ash BullementDelta Hat, Nottingham, UK.
Zoe PhilipsDelta Hat, Nottingham, UK.
Inger SmithWhite Box Health Economics Ltd, Amelia House, Crescent Road, Worthing, West Sussex, UK.
EVRAZ (United Kingdom) · GBNovo Nordisk (Denmark) · DK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a chronic liver disease associated with hepatic morbidity and mortality and extra-hepatic comorbidities. Published NASH cost-effectiveness models (CEMs) are heterogeneous and consistently omit comorbid conditions that frequently co-exist alongside NASH. We aimed to develop a de novo CEM framework that incorporates extra-hepatic disease states and outcomes alongside hepatic components to enable future estimation of the cost-effectiveness of NASH interventions.

methodsPatient-level simulation and cohort-level Markov models were implemented in the same framework. Model inputs included fibrosis progression; late-stage liver disease outcomes; comorbidity outcomes for cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, and obesity; mortality; health-related quality of life; and direct medical costs. The prototype analysis assessed the cost-effectiveness of obeticholic acid versus standard of care from a US payer perspective over a lifetime horizon with costs and effects discounted at 3% per annum. However, the CEM was designed for easy adaptation to other countries, time horizons, and other considerations. Efficacy and adverse event parameters were obtained from the 18-month interim analysis of the REGENERATE trial. Outputs include total and incremental costs, total life years, and quality-adjusted life years.

resultsIn this model, total costs, total life years, and quality-adjusted life years were all higher with obeticholic acid compared with standard of care. Cross-validation of this model with the 2016 and 2020 Institute for Clinical and Economic Review models revealed marked differences, mainly driven by mortality inputs, transition probability estimates, and incorporation of the effect of treatment and comorbidities.

conclusionThis is the first CEM in NASH to incorporate the clinical consequences of several comorbidities. The flexible yet standardized framework permits estimation of the cost-effectiveness of NASH interventions in a variety of settings. The model currently includes several assumptions and will be further developed as more relevant data become available.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseComorbidityCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansQuality of Life

Identifiers

PMID37505423
PMCPMC10635953
OpenAlexW4385331030

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.