Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37503037›Full record

ArticlebioRxiv : the preprint server for biology2024

A natural disaster exacerbates and redistributes disease risk across free-ranging macaques by altering social structure.

Alba Motes-Rodrigo, Gregory F Albery, Josue Negron-Del Valle, Daniel Philips, Cayo Biobank Research Unit, Michael Platt, Lauren Jn Brent, Camille Testard

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Alba Motes-Rodrigo
Josue Negron-Del Valle
Daniel Philips
Cayo Biobank Research Unit
Michael Platt
Lauren Jn Brent
Camille Testard

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is intensifying extreme weather events, with severe implications for ecosystem dynamics. A key behavioural mechanism whereby animals may cope with such events is by increasing social cohesion to improve access to scarce resources like refuges, which in turn could exacerbate epidemic risk due to increased close contact. However, how and to what extent natural disasters affect disease risk via changes in sociality remains unexplored in animal populations. By modelling disease spread in free-living rhesus macaque groups (Macaca mulatta) before and after a hurricane, we demonstrate doubled pathogen transmission rates up to five years following the disaster, equivalent to an increase in pathogen infectivity from 10% to 20%. Moreover, the hurricane redistributed the risk of infection across the population, decreasing status-related differences found in pre-hurricane years. These findings demonstrate that natural disasters can exacerbate and homogenise epidemic risk in an animal population via changes in sociality. These observations provide unexpected further mechanisms by which extreme weather events can threaten wildlife health, population viability, and spillover to humans.

Identifiers

PMID37503037
PMCPMC10370147

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.