Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37502608›Full record

ArticleInfectious Disease Modelling2023

Behavioral aspects and the transmission of Monkeypox: A novel approach to determine the probability of transmission for sexually transmissible diseases.

G D Fernandes, Victor Maldonado

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infectious Disease Modelling, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

G D FernandesMechanical Engineering Department, Texas Tech University, USA.
Victor MaldonadoMechanical Engineering Department, Texas Tech University, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Motivated by the 2022 worldwide Monkeypox (MPox) outbreak, a compartmental model is proposed to predict the evolution of the disease. Numerous models have been proposed for infectious diseases so far, although the number of variables makes it difficult to establish causation relations between individual factors and transmission rates. In order to evaluate the reaction of susceptible people to avoid infection during the outbreak, the rate of transmission is modeled through a unique phenomenological probabilistic approach, allowing the expression of the rate of generation of new cases in terms of two characteristics of the susceptible group: the frequency of sexual encounters and the probability of transmission given that there is a sexual encounter. Transmission rates are obtained and compared for the U.S. and several other countries. Results show reductions of up to 71% in the transmissibility parameter, which may be combined with variations in the frequency of sexual encounters (obtained through behavioral research) to determine the changes in the probability of transmission during an outbreak in a much more convenient way than current alternatives. This framework presents a valuable tool to health authorities in the understanding of future sexually transmissible disease outbreaks.

Identifiers

PMID37502608
PMCPMC10369468

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.