Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37496296›Full record

ReviewThe Medical journal of Australia2023

Evidence supporting the choice of a new cardiovascular risk equation for Australia.

Sinan Brown, Emily Banks, Mark Woodward, Natalie Raffoul, Garry Jennings, Ellie Paige

Open access · hybridAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in The Medical journal of Australia, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.1field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Cardiovascular Risk Prediction in Older Adults.Current atherosclerosis reports · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Sinan BrownNational Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT.
Emily BanksNational Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT.
Mark WoodwardThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW.
Natalie RaffoulNational Heart Foundation of Australia, Sydney, NSW.ORCID 0000-0001-9474-258X
Garry JenningsNational Heart Foundation of Australia, Sydney, NSW.
Ellie PaigeNational Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT.
Australian National University · AUNational Heart Foundation of Australia · AUThe George Institute for Global Health · GB

Funding

National Health and Medical Research Council 1136128National Heart Foundation of Australia 102131National Heart Foundation of Australia APP1149987National Heart Foundation of Australia APP1174120
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This article reviews the risk equations recommended for use in international cardiovascular disease (CVD) primary prevention guidelines and assesses their suitability for use in Australia against a set of a priori defined selection criteria. The review and assessment were commissioned by the National Heart Foundation of Australia on behalf of the Australian Chronic Disease Prevention Alliance to inform recommendations on CVD risk estimation as part of the 2023 update of the Australian CVD risk assessment and management guidelines. Selected international risk equations were assessed against eight selection criteria: development using contemporary data; inclusion of established cardiovascular risk factors; inclusion of ethnicity and deprivation measures; prediction of a broad selection of fatal and non-fatal CVD outcomes; population representativeness; model performance; external validation in an Australian dataset; and the ability to be recalibrated or modified. Of the ten risk prediction equations reviewed, the New Zealand PREDICT equation met seven of the eight selection criteria, and met additional usability criteria aimed at assessing the ability to apply the risk equation in practice in Australia.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesAustraliaHeart Disease Risk FactorsHumansNew ZealandRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAbsolute riskGuidelines as topic

Identifiers

PMID37496296
PMCPMC10952164
OpenAlexW4385269463

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.