Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37490260›Full record

ArticleAging clinical and experimental research2023

Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for intraoperative hypothermia in elderly patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty.

Bin Zhao, Zhe Zhu, Wenwen Qi, Qiuli Liu, Qi Zhang, Liping Jiang, Chenglong Wang, Xiaojian Weng

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Aging clinical and experimental research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
5.1field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Bin Zhao *Department of Anesthesiology and SICU, School of Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Kongjiang Road 1665, Shanghai, 200092, China.
Zhe Zhu *Department of Anesthesiology and SICU, School of Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Kongjiang Road 1665, Shanghai, 200092, China.
Wenwen QiDepartment of Psychogeriatric, School of Medicine, Shanghai Mental Health Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, South Wanping Road 600, Shanghai, 200030, China.
Qiuli LiuDepartment of Anesthesiology and SICU, School of Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Kongjiang Road 1665, Shanghai, 200092, China.
Qi ZhangDepartment of Emergency, School of Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Kongjiang Road 1665, Shanghai, 200092, China.
Liping JiangDepartment of Nursing, School of Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Kongjiang Road 1665, Shanghai, 200092, China. 13868311990@163.com.
Chenglong WangDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, School of Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Kongjiang Road 1665, Shanghai, 200092, China. wangchenglong@xinhuamed.com.cn.
Xiaojian WengDepartment of Anesthesiology and SICU, School of Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Kongjiang Road 1665, Shanghai, 200092, China. wengxiaojian@xinhuamed.com.cn.
Shanghai Jiao Tong University · CNXinHua Hospital · CN

Funding

Innovation research team of high-level local universities in Shanghai - SHSMU grant no.ZDCX20212800Interdisciplinary Projects of Shanghai Jiao Tong University grant no.YG2021QN56National Natural Science Foundation of China grant no.82072462National Natural Science Foundation of China grant no.82172159The research project of Shanghai Jiao Tong University grant no.Jyh2201
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTo construct and validate an intraoperative hypothermia risk prediction model for elderly patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty (THA).

methodsWe collected data from 718 patients undergoing THA in a tertiary hospital from January 2021 to December 2022. Of these patients, 512 were assigned to the modeling group from January 2021 to April 2022, and 206 participants were assigned to the validation group from May 2022 to December 2022. A logistic regression analysis was performed to construct the model. The area under the curve (AUC) was used to test the model's predictive ability.

resultsThe incidence rate of intraoperative hypothermia was 51.67%. The risk factors entered into the risk prediction model were age, preoperative hemoglobin level, intraoperative blood loss, postoperative hemoglobin level, and postoperative systolic blood pressure. The model was constructed as follows: logit (P) = - 10.118 + 0.174 × age + 1.366 × 1 (preoperative hemoglobin level) + 0.555 × 1 (postoperative hemoglobin level) + 0.009 × 1 (intraoperative blood loss) + 0.066 × 1 (postoperative systolic blood pressure). Using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, the P value was 0.676 (AUC, 0.867). The Youden index, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.602, 0.790, and 0.812, respectively. The incidence rates of intraoperative hypothermia in the modeling and validation groups were 53.15% and 48.06%, respectively. The correct practical application rate was 89.81%. This model had good application potential.

conclusionsThis risk prediction model has good predictive value and can accurately predict the occurrence of intraoperative hypothermia in patients who undergo THA, which provides reliable guidance for clinical work and has good clinical application value.

Indexed as

Arthroplasty, Replacement, HipHypothermiaAgedHemoglobinsHumansIncidenceRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsHemoglobinsElderly patientsIntraoperative hypothermiaRisk prediction modelTotal hip arthroplasty

Identifiers

PMID37490260
PMCPMC10520156
OpenAlexW4385230683

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.