Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37488160›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Climate-driven marmot-plague dynamics in Mongolia and China.

Lei Xu, Qian Wang, Ruifu Yang, Dalantai Ganbold, Nyamdorj Tsogbadrakh, Kaixing Dong, Min Liu, Doniddemberel Altantogtokh, Qiyong Liu, Sainbileg Undrakhbold and 3 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. Global natural history infrastructure requires international solidarity, support, and investment in local capacity.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 8 institutions in 3 countries.

Lei XuVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
Qian WangVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
Ruifu YangBeijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing, 100071, China.
Dalantai GanboldNational Center for Zoonotic Diseases, Ulaanbaatar, 211137, Mongolia.
Nyamdorj TsogbadrakhNational Center for Zoonotic Diseases, Ulaanbaatar, 211137, Mongolia.
Kaixing DongVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
Min LiuDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, 100191, China.
Doniddemberel AltantogtokhNational Center for Zoonotic Diseases, Ulaanbaatar, 211137, Mongolia.
Qiyong LiuState Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Changping, Beijing, 102206, China.
Sainbileg UndrakhboldProfessional Biological Society of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, 14201, Mongolia.
Bazartseren BoldgivDepartment of Biology, National University of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, 14201, Mongolia. boldgiv@num.edu.mn.
Wannian LiangVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China. liangwn@tsinghua.edu.cn.
Nils Chr StensethVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China. n.c.stenseth@mn.uio.no.
Vanke (China) · CNNational Center for Communicable Diseases · MNInstitute of Microbiology · CNMongolian National University of Medical Sciences · MNNational Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention · CNNational University of Mongolia · MNPeking University · CNUniversity of Oslo · NO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The incidence of plague has rebounded in the Americas, Asia, and Africa alongside rapid globalization and climate change. Previous studies have shown local climate to have significant nonlinear effects on plague dynamics among rodent communities. We analyzed an 18-year database of plague, spanning 1998 to 2015, in the foci of Mongolia and China to trace the associations between marmot plague and climate factors. Our results suggested a density-dependent effect of precipitation and a geographic location-dependent effect of temperature on marmot plague. That is, a significantly positive relationship was evident between risk of plague and precipitation only when the marmot density exceeded a certain threshold. The geographical heterogeneity of the temperature effect and the contrasting slopes of influence for the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) and other regions in the study (nQTP) were primarily related to diversity of climate and landscape types.

Indexed as

PlagueAnimalsChinaMarmotaMongoliaRodentiaTibet

Identifiers

PMID37488160
PMCPMC10366125
OpenAlexW4385224965

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.