ArticleNature communications2023
A general model-based causal inference method overcomes the curse of synchrony and indirect effect.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Environmental drivers of influenza A and B: causal analysis and forecasting.BMC public health · 2026Article
- A reframed landscape of causal emergence.Patterns (New York, N.Y.) · 2026Article
- Implicit Runge-Kutta based sparse identification of governing equations in biologically motivated systems.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Disentangling climate's dual role in dengue dynamics: A multiregion causal analysis study.Science advances · 2025Article
- From biological data to oscillator models using SINDy.iScience · 2024Article
- A general model-based causal inference method overcomes the curse of synchrony and indirect effect.Nature communications · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
To identify causation, model-free inference methods, such as Granger Causality, have been widely used due to their flexibility. However, they have difficulty distinguishing synchrony and indirect effects from direct causation, leading to false predictions. To overcome this, model-based inference methods that test the reproducibility of data with a specific mechanistic model to infer causality were developed. However, they can only be applied to systems described by a specific model, greatly limiting their applicability. Here, we address this limitation by deriving an easily testable condition for a general monotonic ODE model to reproduce time-series data. We built a user-friendly computational package, General ODE-Based Inference (GOBI), which is applicable to nearly any monotonic system with positive and negative regulations described by ODE. GOBI successfully inferred positive and negative regulations in various networks at both the molecular and population levels, unlike existing model-free methods. Thus, this accurate and broadly applicable inference method is a powerful tool for understanding complex dynamical systems.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.