Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37486949›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

Temporal trends in the disease burden of osteoarthritis from 1990 to 2019, and projections until 2030.

Xiaoqing Chen, Haifeng Tang, Jinding Lin, Rongdong Zeng

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 50 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  11. Context-dependent roles of 11β-HSD1 in bone and skeletal muscle diseases.American journal of translational research · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Xiaoqing ChenQuanzhou First Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University, Quanzhou, Fujian Province, China.
Haifeng TangQuanzhou First Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University, Quanzhou, Fujian Province, China.
Jinding LinQuanzhou First Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University, Quanzhou, Fujian Province, China.
Rongdong ZengQuanzhou First Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University, Quanzhou, Fujian Province, China.ORCID 0009-0004-6278-1241

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aimed to report trends in the global burden of osteoarthritis (OA) from 1990 to 2019 and predict the trends in the following years based on Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. The study included reporting on the prevalence and incidence rates, as well as disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Additionally, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) and Estimated Annual Percent Change (EAPC) were analyzed along with related factors, finally, Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analysis were utilized to predict the trends in the upcoming years. In 2019, globally, there were about 414.7 million (95%UI: 368.8 to 464.4 million) OA incident cases, with an age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) about 492.21 (95% UI:438.66 to 551.5) per 100000. And there were about 527.8 million (95% UI: 478.7 to 584.8 million) OA prevalent cases in 2019. The DALYs for OA increased to about 189.49 million (95%UI: 95.71 to 376.60 million) from 1990 to 2019 (EAPC:0.14%; 95%CI: 0.12% to 0.16%). There was a positive association between ASR and Socio-demographic index (SDI) both at the regional and national level. BAPC results showed that ASR in females would decrease but increase in males in the following years. In conclusion, the global burden of OA has risen steadily between 1990 and 2019, placing a significant strain on society. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years. To alleviate this burden, it is necessary to implement measures that target risk factors such as high body mass index.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseOsteoarthritisBayes TheoremCost of IllnessFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleQuality-Adjusted Life Years

Identifiers

PMID37486949
PMCPMC10365297

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.