Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37485055›Full record

ArticleEvolution, medicine, and public health2023

A novel indicator of selection

Ralph Catalano, Tim A Bruckner, Alison Gemmill, Joan A Casey, Claire Margerison, Terry Hartig

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Evolution, medicine, and public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 42% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Vanishing twins, selectionEvolution, medicine, and public health · 2025
    Article
  2. The Secondary Sex Ratio and Male Mortality at Pre-Reproductive Ages: A Test of Selection In Utero.American journal of human biology : the official journal of the Human Biology Council · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Ralph CatalanoSchool of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7240-415X
Tim A BrucknerProgram in Public Health and Center for Population, Inequality and Policy, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA.
Alison GemmillJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5879-9730
Joan A CaseyEnvironmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9809-4695
Claire MargerisonEpidemiology & Biostatistics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0692-2252
Terry HartigInstitute for Housing and Urban Research, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Berkeley Public Health Division · USColumbia University · USJohns Hopkins University · USMichigan State University · USUniversity of California, Irvine · USUppsala University · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background and objectives: Selection Methodology: We apply Box-Jenkins methods to 50 pre-pandemic birth cohorts (i.e., December 2016 through January 2020) and use the resulting transfer functions to predict counterfactual values in our suggested indicator for selection for ten subsequent birth cohorts beginning in February 2020. We then plot all 60 residual values as well as their 95% detection interval. If birth cohorts in gestation at the onset of the pandemic lost more slow-growing fetuses than expected from history, more than one of the last 10 (i.e. pandemic-exposed) residuals would fall below the detection interval. Results: Four of the last 10 residuals of our indicator for males and for females fell below the 95% detection interval. Conclusions and implications: Consistent with selection

Indexed as

COVID-19selection in uterospontaneous abortion

Identifiers

PMID37485055
PMCPMC10360163
OpenAlexW4384825877

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.