Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37483548›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2023

Evolving trends in drug overdose mortality in the USA from 2000 to 2020: an age-period-cohort analysis.

Sayuri Fujita-Imazu, Jinzhao Xie, Bibha Dhungel, Xinran Wang, Yijing Wang, Phuong Nguyen, July Khin Maung Soe, Jinghua Li, Stuart Gilmour

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
8.1field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Sayuri Fujita-ImazuGraduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.
Jinzhao XieSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Bibha DhungelGraduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.
Xinran WangSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Yijing WangSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Phuong NguyenGraduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.
July Khin Maung SoeGraduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.
Jinghua LiSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Stuart GilmourGraduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.
St. Luke's International University · JPSun Yat-sen University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Drug overdose deaths in the USA have increased rapidly in the past 20 years, and understanding patterns and trends in mortality is essential to develop policy responses. This study aimed to determine whether cohort patterns in mortality due to drug overdose have changed in the past two decades and assess these patterns by race and sex. Methods: The national records of accidental drug overdose death were extracted from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics Mortality Data for 2000-2020. Age-period-cohort analysis was performed to examine independent effects of age, period and birth cohort on accidental drug overdose mortality. Findings: The number of accidental drug overdose deaths increased by 622% between 2000 and 2020, and age-standardized mortality rates increased nearly four-fold in both men and women. Age-period-cohort decomposition found rapid increases in mortality since 2012 in men and women, with higher mortality risk in cohorts born after 1990. The fastest increase occurred in Black Americans since 2012, and Americans of all races born after 1975 had significantly higher mortality risk, with mortality risk increasing rapidly in more recent cohorts. The peak of mortality has shifted from the 40-59 age group to the 30-40 year age group in the past decade. Interpretation: The burden of drug overdose mortality has shifted to younger Americans, and a new generation of Americans are at significantly higher and rapidly increasing risk of overdose death. Urgent action is needed to prevent an entire generation of young people being consigned to decades of preventable mortality. Funding: None.

Indexed as

Age-period-cohortDrug overdoseMortalityThe USA

Identifiers

PMID37483548
PMCPMC10359729
OpenAlexW4383337833

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.