Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37479474›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2025

Effect of e-cigarette taxes on e-cigarette and cigarette retail prices and sales, USA, 2014-2019.

Megan C Diaz, Emily Donovan, John Tauras, Daniel Stephens, Barbara Schillo, Serena Phillips, Frank J Chaloupka, Michael Pesko

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Megan C DiazSchroeder Institute, Truth Initiative, Washington, DC, USA mdiaz@truthinitiative.org.ORCID 0000-0001-6915-2529
Emily DonovanSchroeder Institute, Truth Initiative, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7935-1131
John TaurasDepartment of Economics, University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7625-8062
Daniel StephensSchroeder Institute, Truth Initiative, Washington, DC, USA.
Barbara SchilloSchroeder Institute, Truth Initiative, Washington, DC, USA.
Serena PhillipsDepartment of Economics, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Frank J ChaloupkaInstitute for Health Research and Policy, University of Illinois, Chicago, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4048-4065
Michael PeskoDepartment of Economics, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9247-9703

Funding

The Impacts of Vaping Regulations on Perceptions, Access, Prices, and Tobacco UseR01DA045016 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI-COLUMBIA · PI Michael Pesko · 2018 to 2026
$4.2M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA045016
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo use a standardised e-cigarette tax measure to examine the impact of e-cigarette taxes on the price and sales of e-cigarettes and cigarettes in the USA.

designWe used State Line versions of NielsenIQ Retail Scanner data from quarter 4 of 2014 through quarter 4 of 2019 to calculate e-cigarette and cigarette prices and sales in 23 US states. We then estimated how these outcomes are associated with standardised state-level e-cigarette taxes, controlling for state fixed effects, quarter-by-year fixed effects, cigarette taxes, other tobacco control policies and other state-level time-varying characteristics.

resultsA real $1 increase in the e-cigarette standardised tax increases the price of 1 mL of e-liquid between $0.43 and $0.59 depending on specification. Controlling for fixed effects and cigarette taxes, a 10% increase in e-cigarette taxes is estimated to reduce e-cigarette sales by 0.5% and increase cigarette sales by 0.1%, though both results are attenuated and statistically insignificant in a model with full controls.

conclusionsOur study finds that e-cigarette taxes increase e-cigarette retail prices by approximately half of the tax. Further, e-cigarette taxes are associated with reduced sales of e-cigarettes and increased sales of cigarettes in some specifications. Our estimates are sizably lower than from other studies using sales and survey data.

Indexed as

CommerceElectronic Nicotine Delivery SystemsTaxesTobacco ProductsHumansUnited StatesEconomicsElectronic nicotine delivery devicesTaxation

Identifiers

PMID37479474
PMCPMC11478753

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.