Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37474891›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2023

Mapping the risk of respiratory infections using suburban district areas in a large city in Colombia.

Javier Cortes-Ramirez, Michelle Gatton, Juan D Wilches-Vega, Helen J Mayfield, Ning Wang, Olga M Paris-Pineda, Peter D Sly

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Javier Cortes-RamirezCentre for Data Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane City, Australia. javier.cortesramirez@qut.edu.au.
Michelle GattonCentre for Immunology and Infection Control, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane City, Australia.
Juan D Wilches-VegaFaculty of Health, University of Santander, Santander, Colombia.
Helen J MayfieldSchool of Public Health, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Australia.
Ning WangNational Centre for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention. Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Olga M Paris-PinedaFaculty of Health, University of Santander, Santander, Colombia.
Peter D SlyChildren's Health and Environment Program, Child Health Research Centre, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Australia.
University of Queensland · AUUniversity of Santander · CONational Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention · CNQueensland University of Technology · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute respiratory infections (ARI) in Cúcuta -Colombia, have a comparatively high burden of disease associated with high public health costs. However, little is known about the epidemiology of these diseases in the city and its distribution within suburban areas. This study addresses this gap by estimating and mapping the risk of ARI in Cúcuta and identifying the most relevant risk factors.

methodsA spatial epidemiological analysis was designed to investigate the association of sociodemographic and environmental risk factors with the rate of ambulatory consultations of ARI in urban sections of Cúcuta, 2018. The ARI rate was calculated using a method for spatial estimation of disease rates. A Bayesian spatial model was implemented using the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation approach and the Besag-York-Mollié specification. The risk of ARI per urban section and the hotspots of higher risk were also estimated and mapped.

resultsA higher risk of IRA was found in central, south, north and west areas of Cúcuta after adjusting for sociodemographic and environmental factors, and taking into consideration the spatial distribution of the city's urban sections. An increase of one unit in the percentage of population younger than 15 years; the Index of Multidimensional Poverty and the rate of ARI in the migrant population was associated with a 1.08 (1.06-1.1); 1.04 (1.01-1.08) and 1.25 (1.22-1.27) increase of the ARI rate, respectively. Twenty-four urban sections were identified as hotspots of risk in central, south, north and west areas in Cucuta.

conclusionSociodemographic factors and their spatial patterns are determinants of acute respiratory infections in Cúcuta. Bayesian spatial hierarchical models can be used to estimate and map the risk of these infections in suburban areas of large cities in Colombia. The methods of this study can be used globally to identify suburban areas and or specific communities at risk to support the implementation of prevention strategies and decision-making in the public and private health sectors.

Indexed as

Respiratory Tract InfectionsBayes TheoremCitiesColombiaHumansRisk FactorsAcute respiratory infectionsBayesian spatial hierarchical regression modelBesag-York-Mollie specification -BYMCúcuta / Cucuta –North Santander, ColombiaHotspots or riskIntegrated Nested Laplace approximation -INLASociodemographic and environmental risk factorsSpatial epidemiological analysisSuburban areas

Identifiers

PMID37474891
PMCPMC10360249
OpenAlexW4384924039

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.