Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37463363›Full record

ArticleJCO clinical cancer informatics2023

Thirty-Day Unplanned Hospital Readmissions in Patients With Cancer and the Impact of Social Determinants of Health: A Machine Learning Approach.

Nickolas Stabellini, Aziz Nazha, Nikita Agrawal, Merilys Huhn, John Shanahan, Nelson Hamerschlak, Kristin Waite, Jill S Barnholtz-Sloan, Alberto J Montero

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JCO clinical cancer informatics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Clinical and Socioeconomic Predictors of 60-Day Rehospitalization After Oncologic Head and Neck Surgery.Otolaryngology--head and neck surgery : official journal of American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery · 2026
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  7. Cumulative frailty impact on unplanned hospitalization in older patients with cancer and excellent Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Nickolas StabelliniGraduate Education Office, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, OH.ORCID 0000-0002-3135-7980
Aziz NazhaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Sidney Kimmel Cancer Center, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA.ORCID 0000-0002-6695-7994
Nikita AgrawalPandata LLC, Cleveland, OH.
Merilys HuhnPandata LLC, Cleveland, OH.ORCID 0000-0002-4999-9551
John ShanahanCancer Informatics, Seidman Cancer Center at University Hospitals of Cleveland, Cleveland, OH.
Nelson HamerschlakOncohematology Department, Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-5140-5310
Kristin WaiteTrans-Divisional Research Program (TDRP), Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics (DCEG), National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD.
Jill S Barnholtz-SloanTrans-Divisional Research Program (TDRP), Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics (DCEG), National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD.ORCID 0000-0001-6190-9304
Alberto J MonteroDepartment of Hematology-Oncology, University Hospitals Seidman Cancer Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH.ORCID 0000-0002-8221-8120
Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein · BRNational Institutes of Health · USThomas Jefferson University · USUniversity Hospitals of Cleveland · USUniversity Hospitals Seidman Cancer Center · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeDevelop a cancer-specific machine learning (ML) model that accurately predicts 30-day unplanned readmissions in patients with solid tumors.

methodsThe initial cohort included patients 18 years or older diagnosed with a solid tumor. Two distinct cohorts were generated: one with and one without detailed social determinants of health (SDOHs) data. For each cohort, data were temporally partitioned in 70% (training), 20% (validation), and 10% (testing). Tree-based ML models were developed and validated on each cohort. The metrics used to evaluate the model's performance were receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), area under the ROC curve, precision, recall (R), accuracy, and area under the precision-recall curve.

resultsWe included 13,717 patients in this study in two cohorts (5,059 without SDOH data and 8,658 with SDOH data). Unplanned 30-day readmission occurred in 21.3% of the cases overall. The five main non-SDOH factors most highly associated with an unplanned 30-day readmission (R, 0.74; IQR, 0.58-0.76) were: number of previous unplanned readmissions; higher Charlson comorbidity score; nonelective index admission; discharge to anywhere other than home, hospice, or nursing facility; and higher anion gap during the admission. Neighborhood crime index, neighborhood median home values, annual income, neighborhood median household income, and wealth index were the main five SDOH factors important for predicting a high risk for an unplanned hospital readmission (R, 0.66; IQR, 0.56-0.72). The models were not directly comparable.

conclusionKey drivers of unplanned readmissions in patients with cancer are complex and involve both clinical factors and SDOH. We developed a cancer-specific ML model that with reasonable accuracy identified patients with cancer at high risk for an unplanned hospital readmission.

Indexed as

NeoplasmsPatient ReadmissionHumansMachine LearningRetrospective StudiesSocial Determinants of Health

Identifiers

PMID37463363
PMCPMC10569782
OpenAlexW4384664052

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.