Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37461015›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2023

An ecological assessment of the potential pandemic threat of Dengue Virus in Zhejiang province of China.

Yaxing Zhang, Lei Wang, Guozhen Wang, Jiabao Xu, Tianxing Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Yaxing Zhang *Clinical Practice Teaching Center, Academic Affairs Office, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Lei Wang *College of Basic Medicine, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, 310053, China.
Guozhen WangCollege of Basic Medicine, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, 310053, China.
Jiabao XuCollege of Basic Medicine, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, 310053, China.
Tianxing ZhangCollege of Basic Medicine, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, 310053, China. ztx1@163.com.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81904323Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China Q20H190007
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimDengue fever, transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, is a significant public health concern in tropical and subtropical regions. With the end of the COVID-19 pandemic and the reopening of the borders, dengue fever remains a threat to mainland China, Zhejiang province of China is facing a huge risk of importing the dengue virus. This study aims to analyze and predict the current and future potential risk regions for Aedes vectors distribution and dengue prevalence in Zhejiang province of China.

methodWe collected occurrence records of DENV and DENV vectors globally from 2010 to 2022, along with historical and future climate data and human population density data. In order to predict the probability of DENV distribution in Zhejiang province of China under future conditions, the ecological niche of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus was first performed with historical climate data based on MaxEnt. Then, predicted results along with a set of bioclimatic variables, elevation and human population density were included in MaxEnt model to analyze the risk region of DENV in Zhejiang province. Finally, the established model was utilized to predict the spatial pattern of DENV risk in the current and future scenarios in Zhejiang province of China.

resultsOur findings indicated that approximately 89.2% (90,805.6 KM

conclusionsThe implications of this research highlight the need for effective vector control measures, community engagement, health education, and environmental initiatives to mitigate the potential spread of dengue fever in high-risk regions of Zhejiang province of China.

Indexed as

AedesCOVID-19DengueDengue VirusAnimalsChinaHumansMosquito VectorsPandemicsAedes albopictusClimate changeDengue virusJackknife testMaxEnt

Identifiers

PMID37461015
PMCPMC10351185

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.