Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37460690›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Predicting current and future high-risk areas for vectors and reservoirs of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Iran.

Faramarz Bozorg-Omid, Anooshe Kafash, Reza Jafari, Amir Ahmad Akhavan, Mohammad Rahimi, Abbas Rahimi Foroushani, Fahimeh Youssefi, Mohammad Reza Shirzadi, Abbas Ostadtaghizadeh, Ahmad Ali Hanafi-Bojd

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Post-establishment environmental suitability ofOne health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Predicting the Effect of Temperature Changes onTransboundary and emerging diseases · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Faramarz Bozorg-OmidDepartment of Vector Biology and Control, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Anooshe KafashZoonoses Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Reza JafariSchool of Public Health, Esfahan Health Research Station, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Amir Ahmad AkhavanDepartment of Vector Biology and Control, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Mohammad RahimiDepartment of Combat Desertification, Faculty of Desert Studies, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran.
Abbas Rahimi ForoushaniDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Fahimeh YoussefiDepartment of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, Faculty of Geodesy and Geomatics Engineering, K. N. Toosi University of Technology, Tehran, Iran.
Mohammad Reza ShirzadiCenter for Research of Endemic Parasites of Iran, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Abbas OstadtaghizadehDepartment of Health in Emergencies and Disasters, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. a-ostadtaghizadeh@tums.ac.ir.
Ahmad Ali Hanafi-BojdDepartment of Vector Biology and Control, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. aahanafibojd@tums.ac.ir.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change will affect the distribution of species in the future. To determine the vulnerable areas relating to CL in Iran, we applied two models, MaxEnt and RF, for the projection of the future distribution of the main vectors and reservoirs of CL. The results of the models were compared in terms of performance, species distribution maps, and the gain, loss, and stable areas. The models provided a reasonable estimate of species distribution. The results showed that the Northern and Southern counties of Iran, which currently do not have a high incidence of CL may witness new foci in the future. The Western, and Southwestern regions of the Country, which currently have high habitat suitability for the presence of some vectors and reservoirs, will probably significantly decrease in the future. Furthermore, the most stable areas are for T. indica and M. hurrianae in the future. So that, this species may remain a major reservoir in areas that are present under current conditions. With more local studies in the field of identifying vulnerable areas to CL, it can be suggested that the national CL control guidelines should be revised to include a section as a climate change adaptation plan.

Indexed as

Leishmaniasis, CutaneousHumansIncidenceIranRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID37460690
PMCPMC10352301

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.