Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37452414›Full record

Trial reportBMC women's health2023

Development and validation of competitive risk model for older women with metaplastic breast cancer.

Jie Tang, Dianlong Zhang, Xiudan Pan

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMC women's health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 24% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jie TangDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Public Health School, Shenyang Medical College, Huanghe North Street 146, Shenyang, 110034, China.
Dianlong ZhangWomen and Children's Hospital, Qingdao University, 6 Tongfu Road, Shibei District, Qingdao, 266000, China. 649827199@qq.com.
Xiudan PanDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Public Health School, Shenyang Medical College, Huanghe North Street 146, Shenyang, 110034, China.
Shenyang Medical College · CNQingdao University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMetaplastic breast cancer (MpBC) is a rare histological subtype of breast cancer. This study aims to establish a competitive risk model for older women with MpBC to predict patients' survival accurately.

methodsData on patients diagnosed with MpBC from 2010 to 2019 are from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program in the United States. All patients were randomly assigned to the training set and validation set. The proportional sub-distribution risk model was used in the training set to analyze the risk factors affecting patient death. Based on the risk factors for cancer-specific mortality (CSM) in patients, we constructed a competitive risk model to predict patients' 1-, 3-, and 5-year cancer-specific survival. Then we used the concordance index (C-index), the calibration curve and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) to validate the discrimination and accuracy of the model.

resultsOne thousand, four hundred twelve older women with MpBC were included in this study. Age, T stage, N stage, M stage, tumor size, surgery and radiotherapy were risk factors for CSM. We established a competitive risk model to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year cancer-specific survival in older women with MpBC. The C-index of the model was 0.792 in the training set and 0.744 in the validation set. The calibration curves in the training and validation sets showed that the model's predicted values were almost consistent with the actual observed values. The AUC results show that the prediction model has good accuracy.

conclusionWe developed a competitive risk model based on these risk factors to predict cancer-specific survival in older women with MpBC. The validation results of the model show that it is a very effective and reliable prediction tool. This predictive tool allows doctors and patients to make individualized clinical decisions.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsPhysiciansAgedFemaleHumansPrognosisRisk FactorsROC CurveCompetitive risk modelMetaplastic breast cancerOlder womenSEER

Identifiers

PMID37452414
PMCPMC10349515
OpenAlexW4384301196

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.