Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37444150›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2023

Generalized Linear Models to Forecast Malaria Incidence in Three Endemic Regions of Senegal.

Ousmane Diao, P-A Absil, Mouhamadou Diallo

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Ousmane DiaoICTEAM Institute, UCLouvain, B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-3598-9835
P-A AbsilICTEAM Institute, UCLouvain, B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Mouhamadou DialloMolecular Biology Unit/Bacteriology-Virology Lab, CNHU A. Le Dantec/Université Cheikh Anta Diop, Dakar Fann P.O. Box 5005, Senegal.
UCLouvain · BECheikh Anta Diop University · SN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Affecting millions of individuals yearly, malaria is one of the most dangerous and deadly tropical diseases. It is a major global public health problem, with an alarming spread of parasite transmitted by mosquito (Anophele). Various studies have emerged that construct a mathematical and statistical model for malaria incidence forecasting. In this study, we formulate a generalized linear model based on Poisson and negative binomial regression models for forecasting malaria incidence, taking into account climatic variables (such as the monthly rainfall, average temperature, relative humidity), other predictor variables (the insecticide-treated bed-nets (ITNs) distribution and Artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT)) and the history of malaria incidence in Dakar, Fatick and Kedougou, three different endemic regions of Senegal. A forecasting algorithm is developed by taking the meteorological explanatory variable Xj at time t-𝓁j, where

Indexed as

MalariaHumansIncidenceLinear ModelsModels, StatisticalSenegalTemperatureepidemiological dataforecastinggeneralized linear modelsmeteorological dataparameters estimation

Identifiers

PMID37444150
PMCPMC10341430
OpenAlexW4383346745

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.