Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37439872›Full record

ArticleIntensive care medicine2023

Towards model-informed precision dosing of piperacillin: multicenter systematic external evaluation of pharmacokinetic models in critically ill adults with a focus on Bayesian forecasting.

Sebastian Greppmair, Alexander Brinkmann, Anka Roehr, Otto Frey, Stefan Hagel, Christoph Dorn, Amélie Marsot, Ibrahim El-Haffaf, Michael Zoller, Thomas Saller and 7 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Intensive care medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Sebastian GreppmairDepartment of Anaesthesiology, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Marchioninistrasse 15, 81377, Munich, Germany.
Alexander BrinkmannDepartment of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, General Hospital of Heidenheim, 89522, Heidenheim, Germany.
Anka RoehrDepartment of Pharmacy, General Hospital of Heidenheim, 89522, Heidenheim, Germany.
Otto FreyDepartment of Pharmacy, General Hospital of Heidenheim, 89522, Heidenheim, Germany.
Stefan HagelInstitute for Infectious Diseases and Infection Control, University Hospital, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, 07747, Jena, Germany.
Christoph DornInstitute of Pharmacy, University of Regensburg, 93053, Regensburg, Germany.
Amélie MarsotFaculty of Pharmacy, University of Montréal, Pavillon Jean-Coutu, 2940 Chemin de Polytechnique, Montréal, QC, H3T 1J4, Canada.
Ibrahim El-HaffafFaculty of Pharmacy, University of Montréal, Pavillon Jean-Coutu, 2940 Chemin de Polytechnique, Montréal, QC, H3T 1J4, Canada.
Michael ZollerDepartment of Anaesthesiology, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Marchioninistrasse 15, 81377, Munich, Germany.
Thomas SallerDepartment of Anaesthesiology, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Marchioninistrasse 15, 81377, Munich, Germany.
Johannes ZanderLaboratory Dr. Brunner, Laboratory Medical Care Center Konstanz GmbH, 78464, Constance, Germany.
Lea Marie SchatzDepartment of Pharmaceutical and Medical Chemistry, Clinical Pharmacy, University of Muenster, 48149, Muenster, Germany.
Christina ScharfDepartment of Anaesthesiology, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Marchioninistrasse 15, 81377, Munich, Germany.
Josef BriegelDepartment of Anaesthesiology, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Marchioninistrasse 15, 81377, Munich, Germany.
Iris K MinichmayrDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology, Medical University Vienna, 1090, Vienna, Austria.
Sebastian G WichaDepartment of Clinical Pharmacy, Institute of Pharmacy, University of Hamburg, 20146, Hamburg, Germany.
Uwe LiebchenDepartment of Anaesthesiology, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Marchioninistrasse 15, 81377, Munich, Germany. uwe.liebchen@med.uni-muenchen.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4375-0923

Funding

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft 504995322
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeInadequate piperacillin (PIP) exposure in intensive care unit (ICU) patients threatens therapeutic success. Model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) might be promising to individualize dosing; however, the transferability of published models to external populations is uncertain. This study aimed to externally evaluate the available PIP population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) models.

methodsA multicenter dataset of 561 ICU patients (11 centers/3654 concentrations) was used for the evaluation of 24 identified models. Model performance was investigated for a priori (A) predictions, i.e., considering dosing records and patient characteristics only, and for Bayesian forecasting, i.e., additionally including the first (B1) or first and second (B2) therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) samples per patient. Median relative prediction error (MPE) [%] and median absolute relative prediction error (MAPE) [%] were calculated to quantify accuracy and precision.

resultsThe evaluation revealed a large inter-model variability (A: MPE - 135.6-78.3% and MAPE 35.7-135.6%). Integration of TDM data improved all model predictions (B1/B2 relative improvement vs. A: |MPE|

conclusionThe predictive performance of published PIP models in ICU patients varied considerably, highlighting the relevance of appropriate model selection for MIPD. Our differentiated external evaluation identified specific models suitable for clinical use, especially in combination with TDM.

Indexed as

Critical IllnessPiperacillinAdultAnti-Bacterial AgentsBayes TheoremCritical CareDrug MonitoringHumansAnti-Bacterial AgentsPiperacillinIntensive care medicineModel-informed precision dosingPharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamicsPiperacillinTherapeutic drug monitoring

Identifiers

PMID37439872
PMCPMC10425489

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.