Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37439533›Full record

ArticleACR open rheumatology2023

Time to Publication and Time-Lag Publication Bias for Randomized Trials on Connective Tissue Diseases.

Denis Mongin, Barbara Russo, Alejandro Brigante, Sami Capderou, Delphine S Courvoisier, Michele Iudici

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ACR open rheumatology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Is any research ever truly bias-free? The myth of objectivity in science.Naunyn-Schmiedeberg's archives of pharmacology · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Denis MonginGeneva University Hospitals and University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4801-8395
Barbara RussoGeneva University Hospitals and University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Alejandro BriganteSanatorio Güemes, Servicio de Medicina Interna - Reumatología Francisco Acuña de Figueroa Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Sami CapderouGeneva University Hospitals and University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Delphine S CourvoisierGeneva University Hospitals and University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1956-2607
Michele IudiciGeneva University Hospitals and University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5871-8806

Funding

Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung 320030_212393
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess the time from completion to publication of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on connective tissue diseases (CTDs), investigate the factors associated with, and explore the influence of significance of study results on time to publication (time-lag publication bias).

methodsWe included interventional, phase 2/3, 3, or 4 RCTs on CTDs registered in Clinicaltrials.gov from 2000 to 2016, whose results had been published in a peer-review journal less than 5 years after their completion. Main trial features, including the significance of primary outcome results, were collected. Time to publication was the time from study completion to the earliest publication date. Multivariable linear regression was used to identify factors associated with time to publication.

resultsWe included 62 studies, mostly phase 3 (61%) trials on pharmacologic treatments (94%); we recruited patients with systemic lupus (55%) or systemic sclerosis (23%) and planned to enroll a median of 131 (IQR [interquartile range]: 61-288) patients. Twenty-two (35%) reported at least a statistically significant primary outcome. Median time to publication was 28 months (IQR: 17-36). In a multivariable analysis, time to publication progressively improved over time (faster publication in recent years, with the average time to publication decreasing by 1.3 [95% CI: 0.3-2.3] months per year) and was not influenced by the significance of primary outcome results, funder, impact factor of the journal, number of recruiting countries, and comparator.

conclusionA high proportion of CTDs-RCTs is published beyond 2 years from completion. We did not find evidence of time-lag publication bias, and time to publication improved over time.

Identifiers

PMID37439533
PMCPMC10425588

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.