Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37438389›Full record

ArticleScientific data2023

High-resolution CMIP6 climate projections for Ethiopia using the gridded statistical downscaling method.

Fasil M Rettie, Sebastian Gayler, Tobias K D Weber, Kindie Tesfaye, Thilo Streck

Abstract readDataset
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific data, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Fasil M RettieBiogeophysics, Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, Hohenheim University, 70599, Stuttgart, Germany. fasil.mequanint@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0001-6049-1794
Sebastian GaylerBiogeophysics, Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, Hohenheim University, 70599, Stuttgart, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8577-6486
Tobias K D WeberBiogeophysics, Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, Hohenheim University, 70599, Stuttgart, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-3448-5208
Kindie TesfayeInternational Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.ORCID 0000-0002-7201-8053
Thilo StreckBiogeophysics, Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, Hohenheim University, 70599, Stuttgart, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7822-7588

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

High-resolution climate model projections for a range of emission scenarios are needed for designing regional and local adaptation strategies and planning in the context of climate change. To this end, the future climate simulations of global circulation models (GCMs) are the main sources of critical information. However, these simulations are not only coarse in resolution but also associated with biases and high uncertainty. To make the simulations useful for impact modeling at regional and local level, we utilized the bias correction constructed analogues with quantile mapping reordering (BCCAQ) statistical downscaling technique to produce a 10 km spatial resolution climate change projections database based on 16 CMIP6 GCMs under three emission scenarios (SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). The downscaling strategy was evaluated using a perfect sibling approach and detailed results are presented by taking two contrasting (the worst and best performing models) GCMs as a showcase. The evaluation results demonstrate that the downscaling approach substantially reduced model biases and generated higher resolution daily data compared to the original GCM outputs.

Identifiers

PMID37438389
PMCPMC10338452

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.