Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37434632›Full record

ArticleJournal of applied statistics2023

A hierarchical Bayesian approach for modeling the evolution of the 7-day moving average of the number of deaths by COVID-19.

E F Saraiva, L Sauer, C A B Pereira

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of applied statistics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

E F SaraivaInstituto de Matemática, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Campo Grande, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4698-4004
L SauerEscola de Administraç ao e Negócios, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Campo Grande, Brazil.
C A B PereiraInstituto de Matemática e Estatística, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a hierarchical Bayesian approach for modeling the evolution of the 7-day moving average for the number of deaths due to COVID-19 in a country, state or city. The proposed approach is based on a Gaussian process regression model. The main advantage of this model is that it assumes that a nonlinear function

Indexed as

Bayesian approachCOVID-19Gaussian processMCMC algorithmpredictions

Identifiers

PMID37434632
PMCPMC10332210

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.