ArticleGlobalization and health2023
Future health expenditure in the BRICS countries: a forecasting analysis for 2035.
Article in Globalization and health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- The prevalence of coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD) in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF): a systematic review and meta-analysis.Heart failure reviews · 2024Pooled it
- Causal effects of wildfire PMNature communications · 2026Article
- Introduction of early health technology assessment for innovators, clinicians, and funders.npj health systems · 2026Review
- The role of health financing system and pluralism in achieving sustainable development goal health outcomes in India: a multilevel analysis.International journal for equity in health · 2026Article
- Predicting the effects of temperature variability on nutritional status of children under five in Sub-Saharan Africa using machine learning.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Spatiotemporal characteristics of health expenditure in mainland China during 2012-2020.BMC health services research · 2026Article
- Analysis of Disease Burden and Future Trend Prediction for Iron Deficiency-Induced Abortion and Miscarriage in BRICS Countries.International journal of women's health · 2026Article
- The bill of aging: fiscal projections of demographic changes on South Korea's national health insurance, 2023-2042.Health economics review · 2025Article
- Gallbladder and biliary tract cancer burden trends in Brazil, Russian Federation, India, China, and South Africa in 1990-2021.World journal of gastrointestinal oncology · 2025Article
- Observational
- Spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of human resources for health in traditional Chinese medicine in China.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Multicenter food protein-induced enterocolitis syndrome (FPIES) data collection: Leveraging a REDCap FPIES registry for improved clinical outcomes.The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. Global · 2025Article
- Health expenditure, governance and SDG3 nexus: a longitudinal analysis in BRICS economies.Globalization and health · 2025Article
- Burden, risk factors, and forecasts of gout in BRICS countries, 1990-2021: Insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.PloS one · 2025Article
- Spatio-temporal evolution of financial sustainability in Chinese public hospitals: evidence from provincial panel data (2010-2022).Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Burden of Disease and Cost of Illness of Overweight and Obesity in Portugal.Obesity facts · 2025Article
- Epidemiological trends and age-period-cohort effects on lip and oral cavity cancer burden across the BRICS from 1992 to 2021.Frontiers in oncology · 2025Article
- Policy optimization for high-quality development and openness of China's healthcare sector: a tripartite evolutionary game based on wholly foreign-owned hospitals, public hospitals and the government.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Cost awareness among intensivists in their daily clinical practice: a prospective multicentre study.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2024Observational
- Catastrophic health expenditure of inpatients in emerging economies: evidence from the Indian subcontinent.Health research policy and systems · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundAccelerated globalization especially in the late 1980s has provided opportunities for economic progress in the world of emerging economies. The BRICS nations' economies are distinguishable from other emerging economies due to their rate of expansion and sheer size. As a result of their economic prosperity, health spending in the BRICS countries has been increasing. However, health security is still a distant dream in these countries due to low public health spending, lack of pre-paid health coverage, and heavy out-of-pocket spending. There is a need for changing the health expenditure composition to address the challenge of regressive health spending and ensure equitable access to comprehensive healthcare services.
objectivePresent study examined the health expenditure trend among the BRICS from 2000 to 2019 and made predictions with an emphasis on public, pre-paid, and out-of-pocket expenditures for 2035.
methodsHealth expenditure data for 2000-2019 were taken from the OECD iLibrary database. The exponential smoothing model in R software (ets ()) was used for forecasting.
resultsExcept for India and Brazil, all of the BRICS countries show a long-term increase in per capita PPP health expenditure. Only India's health expenditure is expected to decrease as a share of GDP after the completion of the SDG years. China accounts for the steepest rise in per capita expenditure until 2035, while Russia is expected to achieve the highest absolute values.
conclusionThe BRICS countries have the potential to be important leaders in a variety of social policies such as health. Each BRICS country has set a national pledge to the right to health and is working on health system reforms to achieve universal health coverage (UHC). The estimations of future health expenditures by these emerging market powers should help policymakers decide how to allocate resources to achieve this goal.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.