Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37430201›Full record

ArticleThe journal of headache and pain2023

Estimation of migraine prevalence considering active and inactive states across different age groups.

Marco Piccininni, Ralph Brinks, Jessica L Rohmann, Tobias Kurth

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of headache and pain, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
16.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 74 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Marco PiccininniInstitute of Public Health, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Charitéplatz 1, 10117, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1397-0060
Ralph BrinksChair for Medical Biometry and Epidemiology, Faculty of Health/School of Medicine, Witten/Herdecke University, Alfred-Herrhausen-Straße 45, 58455, Witten, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0961-6592
Jessica L Rohmann *Institute of Public Health, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Charitéplatz 1, 10117, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2420-5716
Tobias Kurth *Institute of Public Health, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Charitéplatz 1, 10117, Berlin, Germany. tobias.kurth@charite.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7169-2620
Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin · DECharité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin · DEMax Delbrück Center · DEWitten/Herdecke University · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMigraine is a very common headache disorder on the population level, characterized by symptomatic attacks (activity). For many people with migraine, the migraine symptoms intermittently or permanently cease during their lifetime (inactive migraine). The current diagnostic classification of migraine considers two states: active migraine (having migraine symptoms within the last year) and not having active migraine (including both individuals with inactive migraine and those who never had migraine). Defining a state of inactive migraine that has gone into remission may better capture the trajectories of migraine across the lifespan and contribute to a better understanding of its biological processes. We aimed to quantify the prevalence of never, active, and inactive migraine separately, using modern prevalence and incidence estimation methodology to better describe the complexity of migraine trajectories at the population level.

methodsUsing a multistate modeling approach, data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, and results from a population-based study, we estimated the transition rates by which individuals moved between migraine disease states and estimated prevalences of never, active and inactive migraine. We used data from the GBD project and a hypothetical cohort of 100,000 people with a starting age of 30 and 30 years of follow-up, both in Germany and globally, stratified by sex.

resultsIn Germany, the estimated rate of transition from active to inactive migraine (remission rate) increased after the age of 22.5 in women and 27.5 in men. The pattern for men in Germany was similar to the one observed on the global level. The prevalence of inactive migraine among women reaches 25.7% in Germany and 16.5% globally at age 60. For men, the inactive migraine prevalence estimates at the same age were 10.4% in Germany and 7.1% globally.

conclusionsConsidering an inactive migraine state explicitly reflects a different epidemiological picture of migraine across the lifecourse. We have demonstrated that many women of older ages may be in an inactive migraine state. Many pressing research questions can only be answered if population-based cohort studies collect information not only on active migraine but also on inactive migraine states.

Indexed as

Headache DisordersMigraine DisordersAdultFemaleGermanyGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceClassificationEpidemiologyMigrainePopulation studiesPrevalenceRemission

Identifiers

PMID37430201
PMCPMC10334692
OpenAlexW4383745916

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.