Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37429366›Full record

ArticleGastroenterology2023

Incidence and Risk Factors for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Cirrhosis: The Multicenter Hepatocellular Carcinoma Early Detection Strategy (HEDS) Study.

K Rajender Reddy, Dale McLerran, Tracey Marsh, Neehar Parikh, Lewis R Roberts, Myron Schwartz, Mindie H Nguyen, Alex Befeler, Stephanie Page-Lester, Runlong Tang and 4 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Gastroenterology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
11.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Tamoxifen for adults with hepatocellular carcinoma.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Trial
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Review
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  11. Article
  12. Article
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  14. Chemoprevention of hepatocellular carcinoma.Hepatology communications · 2025
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. [Diagnosis and differential diagnosis of small hepatocellular carcinoma in the context of cirrhosis].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 9 institutions in 1 country.

K Rajender ReddyUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Electronic address: reddyr@pennmedicine.upenn.edu.
Dale McLerranFred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Tracey MarshFred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Neehar ParikhUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Lewis R RobertsMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Myron SchwartzMount Sinai School of Medicine New York, New York.
Mindie H NguyenStanford University, Palo Alto, California.
Alex BefelerSaint Louis University, St. Louis, Missouri.
Stephanie Page-LesterFred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Runlong TangFred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Sudhir SrivastavaNational Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.
Jo Ann RinaudoNational Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.
Ziding FengFred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Jorge A MarreroUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Fred Hutch Cancer Center · USNational Cancer Institute · USIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USMayo Clinic · USPalo Alto University · USPenn Center for AIDS Research · USSaint Louis University · USUniversity of Michigan · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · US

Funding

SAN ANTONIO CENTER OF BIOMARKERS OF RISK FOR PROSTATE CAU01CA086402 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI LEACH, ROBIN JEAN, THOMPSON, IAN M. · 2000 to 2018
$33.1M
Translation of a biomarker panel for the early detection of hepatocellular carcinomaR01CA237659 · NCI · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI MARRERO, JORGE A, MEHTA, ANAND S. · 2019 to 2023
$2.5M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA237659NCI NIH HHS U01 CA086402
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsWorldwide, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy. We aimed to prospectively determine the incidence and risk factors of HCC in a U.S. COHORT:

methodsThe multicenter Hepatocellular Carcinoma Early Detection Strategy study of the National Institutes of Health prospectively enrolled patients with cirrhosis who underwent standard surveillance for HCC. Demographics, medical and family history, etiology of liver disease, and clinical features were evaluated for associations with HCC.

resultsBetween April 10, 2013 and December 31, 2021, 1723 patients were enrolled and confirmed eligible. During median follow-up of 2.2 years (range, 0-8.7 years), there were 109 incident cases of HCC for an incidence rate of 2.4 per 100 person-years: 88 (81%) patients with very early/early Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage (0, A), 20 (18%) intermediate stage (B), and 1 (1%) unknown stage. Risk factor analyses were restricted to 1325 patients, including 95 incident HCC, with at least 6 months of follow-up. The majority were men (53.2%), obese or severely obese (median body mass index, 30.2 kg/m

conclusionsThus far, this is the largest prospective and geographically diverse study of a U.S. cohort of patients with cirrhosis that validates known risk factors for HCC (gender, age, obesity, years with cirrhosis, family history of liver cancer, baseline AFP, albumin, and AST). The incidence of HCC was 2.4% per 100 person-years.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularLiver Neoplasmsalpha-FetoproteinsChild, PreschoolEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansIncidenceLiver CirrhosisMaleObesityProspective StudiesRisk Factorsalpha-FetoproteinsCirrhosisEarly Detection Research NetworkHepatocellular CarcinomaRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID37429366
PMCPMC10529044
OpenAlexW4383617642

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.